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Botev Ihtiman vs CSKA Sofia III

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-West game between Botev Ihtiman and CSKA Sofia III finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Botev Ihtiman.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Botev Ihtiman
35%
Draws
20%
CSKA Sofia III
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Botev Ihtiman

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Botev Ihtiman's 1.45 goals per match outpaces what CSKA Sofia III have produced (1.31).
  • Win probability leans Botev Ihtiman's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Third League - South-West form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Botev Ihtiman Clean Sheet 17%
CSKA Sofia III Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botev Ihtiman CSKA Sofia III
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 12 12
Draws 6 8
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 1.45 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Third League - South-West
Botev Ihtiman vs CSKA Sofia III
2:1
Mar 28, 2026 Third League - South-West
Botev Ihtiman vs CSKA Sofia III
1:1
Sep 17, 2025 Third League - South-West
CSKA Sofia III vs Botev Ihtiman
1:2
May 24, 2025 Third League - South-West
CSKA Sofia III vs Botev Ihtiman
1:1
Nov 9, 2024 Third League - South-West
Botev Ihtiman vs CSKA Sofia III
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botev Ihtiman 39 / 100
CSKA Sofia III 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botev Ihtiman CSKA Sofia III

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Botev Ihtiman Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Botev Ihtiman scored in 70% of their last 33 games.

CSKA Sofia III let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Botev Ihtiman stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Botev Ihtiman VS CSKA Sofia III
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Botev Ihtiman

(Home)
29 Aug
Botev Ihtiman
2 : 1
CSKA Sofia III
22 Aug
Balkan Botevgrad
1 : 0
Botev Ihtiman
15 Aug
Botev Ihtiman
1 : 0
Kostinbrod
08 Aug
Slivnishki Geroy
2 : 3
Botev Ihtiman
02 Aug
Botev Ihtiman
1 : 2
Septemvri Sofia 2
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CSKA Sofia III

(Away)
29 Aug
Botev Ihtiman
2 : 1
CSKA Sofia III
22 Aug
CSKA Sofia III
1 : 1
Kyustendil
15 Aug
Septemvri Simitli
0 : 0
CSKA Sofia III
08 Aug
CSKA Sofia III
0 : 0
Strumska Slava
01 Aug
Oborishte Panagyurishte
1 : 1
CSKA Sofia III
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