Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Botev Ihtiman vs Germaneya Prediction & H2H Stats

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Germaneya in this Third League - South-West 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Germaneya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Botev Ihtiman
15%
Draws
28%
Germaneya
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Botev Ihtiman

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Botev Ihtiman have won more games recently than Germaneya.
  • Model gives Botev Ihtiman a 57% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Botev Ihtiman Clean Sheet 19%
Germaneya Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botev Ihtiman Germaneya
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 4
Draws 4 4
Losses 16 22
Goals Scored 1.45 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.48 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Third League - South-West
Botev Ihtiman vs Germaneya
1:2
Oct 18, 2025 Third League - South-West
Germaneya vs Botev Ihtiman
4:3
Mar 2, 2019 Third League - South-West
Botev Ihtiman vs Germaneya
3:2
Aug 18, 2018 Third League - South-West
Germaneya vs Botev Ihtiman
1:0
Apr 21, 2018 Third League - South-West
Germaneya vs Botev Ihtiman
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botev Ihtiman 76 / 100
Germaneya 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botev Ihtiman Germaneya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Botev Ihtiman Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Germaneya has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Botev Ihtiman scored in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Difficult form: Germaneya registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Botev Ihtiman VS Germaneya
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 3.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Botev Ihtiman

(Home)
04 Oct
Spartak Plovdiv
1 : 0
Botev Ihtiman
26 Sept
Botev Ihtiman
0 : 2
Minyor Pernik
19 Sept
Pirin Razlog
1 : 0
Botev Ihtiman
12 Sept
Botev Ihtiman
3 : 2
Natsional Sofia
05 Sept
Chavdar Etropole
1 : 4
Botev Ihtiman
Page 1 of 7

Germaneya

(Away)
30 May
Oborishte Panagyurishte
5 : 1
Germaneya
21 May
Germaneya
0 : 2
Pirin Razlog
14 May
Bansko
3 : 1
Germaneya
09 May
Germaneya
3 : 4
Gotse Delchev
02 May
Botev Ihtiman
1 : 2
Germaneya
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rilski Sportist 34 25 5 4 58:23 80
2 Strumska Slava 34 20 5 9 71:45 65
3 Slavia Sofia 2 34 17 6 11 68:44 57
4 Botev Ihtiman 34 14 9 11 53:40 51
5 Kyustendil 34 15 5 14 49:52 50
6 CSKA Sofia III 34 15 5 14 49:43 50
7 Oborishte Panagyurishte 34 14 7 13 43:37 49
8 Balkan Botevgrad 34 13 10 11 50:45 49
9 Septemvri Sofia 2 34 13 9 12 50:43 48
10 Septemvri Simitli 34 13 8 13 41:40 47
11 Kostinbrod 34 14 5 15 47:51 47
12 Pirin Razlog 34 13 6 15 43:48 45
13 Bansko 34 11 11 12 39:45 44
14 Slivnishki Geroy 34 11 9 14 40:49 42
15 Levski Sofia II 34 11 7 16 30:44 40
16 Gotse Delchev 34 11 4 19 43:70 37
17 Germaneya 34 4 6 24 38:75 18
18 Bistritsa 34 11 5 18 44:62 38
Relegation - Third League - South-West 2025/2026 (Relegation)