Sport Picks

Bulgaria

Third League - South-West

Botev Ihtiman

1 - 2

Germaneya

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Germaneya in this Third League - South-West matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Germaneya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Botev Ihtiman

Draws

Germaneya

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Botev Ihtiman

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Botev Ihtiman have won more games recently than Germaneya.
Model gives Botev Ihtiman a 90% chance of winning this.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%

Botev Ihtiman Clean Sheet 18%

Germaneya Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Botev Ihtiman	Germaneya
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	12	4
Draws	7	4
Losses	11	22
Goals Scored	1.13	1
Goals Conceded	1.63	1.75
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Third League - South-West

Botev Ihtiman vs Germaneya

Possession: 58% - 59% Cards: 3 - 4

1:2

Oct 18, 2025 Third League - South-West

Germaneya vs Botev Ihtiman

Possession: 60% - 53% Cards: 1 - 4

4:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botev Ihtiman 85 / 100

Germaneya 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Botev Ihtiman Germaneya

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IHT Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Germaneya has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Botev Ihtiman scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Botev Ihtiman has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Botev Ihtiman VS Germaneya

1.13 Goals Scored 1

1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75

88% Over 1.5 50%

50% Over 2.5 50%

13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Rilski Sportist	34	25	5	4	58:23	80
2	Strumska Slava	34	20	5	9	71:45	65
3	Slavia Sofia 2	34	17	6	11	68:44	57
4	Botev Ihtiman	34	14	9	11	53:40	51
5	Kyustendil	34	15	5	14	49:52	50
6	CSKA Sofia III	34	15	5	14	49:43	50
7	Oborishte Panagyurishte	34	14	7	13	43:37	49
8	Balkan Botevgrad	34	13	10	11	50:45	49
9	Septemvri Sofia 2	34	13	9	12	50:43	48
10	Septemvri Simitli	34	13	8	13	41:40	47
11	Kostinbrod	34	14	5	15	47:51	47
12	Pirin Razlog	34	13	6	15	43:48	45
13	Bansko	34	11	11	12	39:45	44
14	Slivnishki Geroy	34	11	9	14	40:49	42
15	Levski Sofia II	34	11	7	16	30:44	40
16	Gotse Delchev	34	11	4	19	43:70	37
17	Germaneya	34	4	6	24	38:75	18
18	Bistritsa	34	11	5	18	44:62	38