Sport Picks
Botev Ihtiman vs Septemvri Simitli
Bulgaria
Third League - South-West 2025/2026 
AI Match Summary
The Third League - South-West 2025/2026 game between Botev Ihtiman and Septemvri Simitli finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Botev Ihtiman.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
65%
20%
15%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Botev Ihtiman
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Septemvri Simitli come out ahead of Botev Ihtiman on wins alone.
- Model gives Botev Ihtiman a 65% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Botev Ihtiman have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Botev Ihtiman Clean Sheet 16%
Septemvri Simitli Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Botev Ihtiman | Septemvri Simitli |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 13 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 12 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.48 | 1.31 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.28 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 14, 2026 Third League - South-West
Botev Ihtiman vs Septemvri Simitli
1:0
Sep 5, 2025 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Simitli vs Botev Ihtiman
0:2
May 31, 2025 Third League - South-West
Botev Ihtiman vs Septemvri Simitli
2:2
Nov 16, 2024 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Simitli vs Botev Ihtiman
1:2
Mar 30, 2024 Third League - South-West
Botev Ihtiman vs Septemvri Simitli
4:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Botev Ihtiman 84 / 100
Septemvri Simitli 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Botev Ihtiman Septemvri Simitli
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Botev Ihtiman Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Botev Ihtiman's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Septemvri Simitli let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Solid form: Botev Ihtiman remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Botev Ihtiman VS Septemvri Simitli
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Botev Ihtiman
(Home) 19 Sept
Pirin Razlog
1 : 0 Botev Ihtiman
12 Sept
Botev Ihtiman
3 : 2 Natsional Sofia
05 Sept
Chavdar Etropole
1 : 4 Botev Ihtiman
29 Aug
Botev Ihtiman
2 : 1 CSKA Sofia III
22 Aug
Balkan Botevgrad
1 : 0 Botev Ihtiman
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Botev Ihtiman
3 : 2 Natsional Sofia
29 Aug
Botev Ihtiman
2 : 1 CSKA Sofia III
15 Aug
Botev Ihtiman
1 : 0 Kostinbrod
02 Aug
Botev Ihtiman
1 : 2 Septemvri Sofia 2
30 May
Botev Ihtiman
3 : 0 Bistritsa
Page 1 of 3
Septemvri Simitli
(Away) 19 Sept
Bansko
3 : 1 Septemvri Simitli
12 Sept
Septemvri Simitli
0 : 2 Minyor Pernik
05 Sept
Pirin Razlog
1 : 1 Septemvri Simitli
29 Aug
Septemvri Simitli
3 : 3 Natsional Sofia
22 Aug
Chavdar Etropole
4 : 2 Septemvri Simitli
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Bansko
3 : 1 Septemvri Simitli
05 Sept
Pirin Razlog
1 : 1 Septemvri Simitli
22 Aug
Chavdar Etropole
4 : 2 Septemvri Simitli
08 Aug
Balkan Botevgrad
1 : 2 Septemvri Simitli
18 Jul
Belasica Strumica
0 : 3 Septemvri Simitli
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rilski Sportist | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 58:23 | 80 |
| 2 | Strumska Slava | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 71:45 | 65 |
| 3 | Slavia Sofia 2 | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 68:44 | 57 |
| 4 | Botev Ihtiman | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 53:40 | 51 |
| 5 | Kyustendil | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 49:52 | 50 |
| 6 | CSKA Sofia III | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 49:43 | 50 |
| 7 | Oborishte Panagyurishte | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 43:37 | 49 |
| 8 | Balkan Botevgrad | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 50:45 | 49 |
| 9 | Septemvri Sofia 2 | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 50:43 | 48 |
| 10 | Septemvri Simitli | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 41:40 | 47 |
| 11 | Kostinbrod | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 47:51 | 47 |
| 12 | Pirin Razlog | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 43:48 | 45 |
| 13 | Bansko | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 39:45 | 44 |
| 14 | Slivnishki Geroy | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 40:49 | 42 |
| 15 | Levski Sofia II | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 30:44 | 40 |
| 16 | Gotse Delchev | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 43:70 | 37 |
| 17 | Germaneya | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 38:75 | 18 |
| 18 | Bistritsa | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 44:62 | 38 |
Relegation - Third League - South-West 2025/2026 (Relegation)
