Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Botev II vs Nesebar

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga 2024/2025 Nikola Shterev - Starika Sports Complex, Plovdiv
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Yanev V.
16'
Velinov S.
19'
Sub
Bonev B. In: Yordanov D.
Out: Bonev B.

AI Match Summary

Nesebar in this Vtora liga 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nesebar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Botev II
30%
Draws
41%
Nesebar
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nesebar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nesebar lately — more wins on the board than Botev II.
  • Botev II are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Vtora liga 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Nesebar have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Botev II Clean Sheet 10%
Nesebar Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botev II Nesebar
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 19
Draws 6 6
Losses 17 5
Goals Scored 1.17 2.77
Goals Conceded 1.83 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2025 Vtora liga
Botev II vs Nesebar
0:2
Nov 9, 2024 Vtora liga
Nesebar vs Botev II
0:1
Feb 18, 2024 Third League - South-East
Botev II vs Nesebar
1:3
Aug 5, 2023 Third League - South-East
Nesebar vs Botev II
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Botev II Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Nesebar Compare

Top Goalscorer Yanev V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Peychev P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botev II 40 / 100
Nesebar 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botev II Nesebar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nesebar has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Botev II stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Botev II's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Botev II VS Nesebar
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Botev II

(Home)
26 Sept
Zagorets
0 : 3
Botev II
18 Sept
Botev II
0 : 0
Sozopol
12 Sept
Lok. Plovdiv II
2 : 2
Botev II
06 Sept
Botev II
0 : 2
Krumovgrad
29 Aug
Maritsa Milevo
4 : 2
Botev II
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Nesebar

(Away)
27 Sept
Vihren
2 : 0
Nesebar
20 Sept
Nesebar
4 : 3
Beroe
15 Sept
Gorna
1 : 1
Nesebar
06 Sept
Nesebar
2 : 1
Rilski Sportist
02 Sept
Marek
1 : 0
Nesebar
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dobrudzha 38 25 10 3 75:22 85
2 Montana 38 22 12 4 53:15 78
3 Pirin Blagoevgrad 38 21 9 8 55:41 72
4 Marek 38 18 11 9 44:31 65
5 Yantra Gabrovo 38 18 10 10 59:37 64
6 Dunav Ruse 38 17 13 8 52:35 64
7 Etar 38 15 11 12 51:40 56
8 Belasitsa Petrich 38 16 8 14 42:45 56
9 CSKA 1948 Sofia II 38 16 4 18 51:53 52
10 Gorna 38 15 7 16 41:41 52
11 Spartak Pleven 38 14 9 15 35:43 51
12 Ludogorets II 38 13 12 13 53:42 51
13 CSKA Sofia II 38 12 13 13 47:41 49
14 Fratria 38 13 9 16 45:50 48
15 Minyor Pernik 38 11 8 19 36:56 41
16 Svoge 38 8 13 17 22:40 37
17 FC Lovech 38 8 9 21 19:45 33
18 Botev II 38 8 5 25 33:70 29
19 Strumska Slava 38 4 16 18 23:54 28
20 Nesebar 38 5 13 20 28:63 28
Promotion - efbet League 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Parva liga 2024/2025 (Relegation)