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Botev Novi Pazar vs Spartak Varna II

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East
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AI Match Summary

The Third League - North-East game between Botev Novi Pazar and Spartak Varna II finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Botev Novi Pazar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Botev Novi Pazar
20%
Draws
38%
Spartak Varna II
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Botev Novi Pazar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Botev Novi Pazar carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Botev Novi Pazar taking it.
  • Regular Third League - North-East form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Botev Novi Pazar Clean Sheet 14%
Spartak Varna II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botev Novi Pazar Spartak Varna II
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 5
Draws 5 5
Losses 17 20
Goals Scored 1.88 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.75 2.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 2.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2026 Third League - North-East
Botev Novi Pazar vs Spartak Varna II
2:0
Aug 17, 2025 Third League - North-East
Spartak Varna II vs Botev Novi Pazar
2:1
Apr 19, 2025 Third League - North-East
Spartak Varna II vs Botev Novi Pazar
3:0
Nov 13, 2024 Third League - North-East
Botev Novi Pazar vs Spartak Varna II
0:0
Jun 3, 2023 Third League - North-East
Spartak Varna II vs Botev Novi Pazar
5:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botev Novi Pazar 41 / 100
Spartak Varna II 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botev Novi Pazar Spartak Varna II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spartak Varna II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Botev Novi Pazar found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Spartak Varna II lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Botev Novi Pazar VS Spartak Varna II
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Chernomorets Balchik32274192:1485
2Ludogorets III322543101:1979
3Septemvri Tervel32253489:2278
4Volov Shumen32233693:2872
5Chernolomets32203978:4363
6Benkovski32186868:4060
7Cherno More II32167965:4455
8Ustrem Donchevo321731273:6754
9Olympic Varna321061658:8036
10Aksakovo32941940:6831
11Fratria II32861840:7130
12Svetkavitsa 201432781726:4829
13Botev Novi Pazar32851934:6929
14Dorostol32842029:6728
15Spartak Varna II32752042:7226
16FK Riltzi32642231:8322
17Svetkavitsa3201315:1291