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Botev Novi Pazar vs Vihren - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Bulgarian Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Ivov M.
46' Event
Nikolov D.
67'
Ivanov Y.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-4. This leg finished 1-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Botev Novi Pazar
30%
Draws
52%
Vihren
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vihren

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Botev Novi Pazar haven't matched Vihren's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Vihren's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Vihren arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Vihren, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Botev Novi Pazar Clean Sheet 10%
Vihren Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botev Novi Pazar Vihren
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 16
Draws 7 5
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 1.38 1.82
Goals Conceded 2 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Bulgarian Cup
Botev Novi Pazar vs Vihren
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Botev Novi Pazar Compare

Top Goalscorer Nikolov D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Vihren Compare

Top Goalscorer Ivov M.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Al Badarin M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botev Novi Pazar 10 / 100
Vihren 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botev Novi Pazar Vihren

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vihren Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Botev Novi Pazar scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Vihren's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

Solid form: Botev Novi Pazar remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Botev Novi Pazar VS Vihren
1.63 Goals Scored 2.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Botev Novi Pazar

(Home)
03 Oct
Botev Novi Pazar
1 : 4
Vihren
26 Sept
Cherno More II
1 : 1
Botev Novi Pazar
19 Sept
Botev Novi Pazar
0 : 0
Chernomorets Balchik
13 Sept
Chernolomets
4 : 0
Botev Novi Pazar
05 Sept
Botev Novi Pazar
0 : 0
Ludogorets III
Page 1 of 6

Vihren

(Away)
09 Oct
Yantra Gabrovo
1 : 0
Vihren
03 Oct
Botev Novi Pazar
1 : 4
Vihren
27 Sept
Vihren
2 : 0
Nesebar
21 Sept
Svoge
3 : 2
Vihren
13 Sept
Vihren
2 : 0
Dobrudzha
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Chernomorets Balchik 2
Etar 3
TBD -
Spartak Varna -
Natsional Sofia 1
Gorna 3
TBD -
Septemvri Sofia -
Spartak Plovdiv 1
Botev Ihtiman 0
TBD -
Arda -
Balkan Botevgrad 0
Fratria 3
TBD -
Botev Vratsa -
Neftochimic Burgas 2
Svoge 1
TBD -
CSKA 1948 Sofia -
Botev Novi Pazar 1
Vihren 4
TBD -
Lok. Sofia -
Benkovski 0
Akademik Svishtov 3
TBD -
Slavia Sofia -
Oborishte Panagyurishte 1
Yantra Gabrovo 3
TBD -
Lok. Plovdiv -
Zagorets 0
Rilski Sportist 4
TBD -
Dunav Ruse -
Minyor Pernik 1
Beroe 2
TBD -
Ludogorets -
Volov Shumen 0
Chernomorets 1919 2
TBD -
Botev Plovdiv -
Krumovgrad 1
Spartak Pleven 2
TBD -
Levski Sofia -
Chavdar Troyan 0
Marek 4
TBD -
Cherno More -
Rodopa Smolyan 1
Nesebar 3
TBD -
CSKA Sofia -
Lokomotiv Mezdra 2
Pirin Blagoevgrad 3
Yambol 1915 0
Hebar 5
Belasitsa Petrich 1
Dobrudzha 2
Bdin Vidin 0
Montana 2
1/16-finals
Etar -
Spartak Varna -
Gorna -
Septemvri Sofia -
Spartak Plovdiv -
Arda -
Fratria -
Botev Vratsa -
Neftochimic Burgas -
CSKA 1948 Sofia -
Vihren -
Lok. Sofia -
Akademik Svishtov -
Slavia Sofia -
Yantra Gabrovo -
Lok. Plovdiv -
Rilski Sportist -
Dunav Ruse -
Beroe -
Ludogorets -
Chernomorets 1919 -
Botev Plovdiv -
Spartak Pleven -
Levski Sofia -
Marek -
Cherno More -
Nesebar -
CSKA Sofia -
Pirin Blagoevgrad -
Hebar -
Dobrudzha -
Montana -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -