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Botev Novi Pazar vs Volov Shumen

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - North-East 2025/2026 game between Botev Novi Pazar and Volov Shumen finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Volov Shumen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Botev Novi Pazar
30%
Draws
47%
Volov Shumen
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Volov Shumen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Volov Shumen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Volov Shumen are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Third League - North-East 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Volov Shumen have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Botev Novi Pazar Clean Sheet 10%
Volov Shumen Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botev Novi Pazar Volov Shumen
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 23
Draws 8 3
Losses 13 4
Goals Scored 1.38 3.33
Goals Conceded 1.9 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 3.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Third League - North-East
Botev Novi Pazar vs Volov Shumen
0:3
Sep 20, 2025 Third League - North-East
Volov Shumen vs Botev Novi Pazar
3:0
May 11, 2025 Third League - North-East
Botev Novi Pazar vs Volov Shumen
1:3
Nov 9, 2024 Third League - North-East
Volov Shumen vs Botev Novi Pazar
3:1
Mar 16, 2019 Third League - North-East
Botev Novi Pazar vs Volov Shumen
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botev Novi Pazar 10 / 100
Volov Shumen 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botev Novi Pazar Volov Shumen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Volov Shumen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Botev Novi Pazar scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Botev Novi Pazar has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Volov Shumen has conceded goals in 40% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Botev Novi Pazar VS Volov Shumen
1.63 Goals Scored 4.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Botev Novi Pazar

(Home)
26 Sept
Cherno More II
1 : 1
Botev Novi Pazar
19 Sept
Botev Novi Pazar
0 : 0
Chernomorets Balchik
13 Sept
Chernolomets
4 : 0
Botev Novi Pazar
05 Sept
Botev Novi Pazar
0 : 0
Ludogorets III
26 Aug
Botev Novi Pazar
5 : 1
Ustrem Donchevo
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Volov Shumen

(Away)
26 Sept
Ludogorets III
2 : 1
Volov Shumen
19 Sept
Volov Shumen
4 : 1
Septemvri Dragoevo
12 Sept
Ustrem Donchevo
2 : 4
Volov Shumen
05 Sept
Volov Shumen
9 : 0
Fratria II
29 Aug
Dorostol
0 : 3
Volov Shumen
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chernomorets Balchik 32 27 4 1 92:14 85
2 Ludogorets III 32 25 4 3 101:19 79
3 Septemvri Tervel 32 25 3 4 89:22 78
4 Volov Shumen 32 23 3 6 93:28 72
5 Chernolomets 32 20 3 9 78:43 63
6 Benkovski 32 18 6 8 68:40 60
7 Cherno More II 32 16 7 9 65:44 55
8 Ustrem Donchevo 32 17 3 12 73:67 54
9 Olympic Varna 32 10 6 16 58:80 36
10 Aksakovo 32 9 4 19 40:68 31
11 Fratria II 32 8 6 18 40:71 30
12 Svetkavitsa 2014 32 7 8 17 26:48 29
13 Botev Novi Pazar 32 8 5 19 34:69 29
14 Dorostol 32 8 4 20 29:67 28
15 Spartak Varna II 32 7 5 20 42:72 26
16 FK Riltzi 32 6 4 22 31:83 22
17 Svetkavitsa 32 0 1 31 5:129 1
Promotion - Vtora liga 2025/2026 (Main)