Sport Picks

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Botev Plovdiv vs Cherno More

Bulgaria Bulgaria

efbet League 2025/2026 Stadion Hristo Botev, Plovdiv
Botev Plovdiv Logo

Botev Plovdiv

5 - 0
FT
Cherno More Logo

Cherno More

Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Petrov S.
Assist: Iliev N.
46'
Sub
Silva E. In: Jocu H.
Out: Silva E.
50' Event
Mascote
Assist: Meotti C.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The efbet League 2025/2026 game between Botev Plovdiv and Cherno More finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Botev Plovdiv.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Botev Plovdiv
20%
Draws
29%
Cherno More
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Botev Plovdiv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Cherno More haven't matched Botev Plovdiv's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Botev Plovdiv a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular efbet League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Botev Plovdiv Clean Sheet 68%
Cherno More Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botev Plovdiv Cherno More
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 9
Draws 3 9
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.9 1.03
Goals Conceded 1 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 efbet League
Botev Plovdiv vs Cherno More
1:0
May 16, 2026 efbet League
Botev Plovdiv vs Cherno More
5:0
May 9, 2026 efbet League
Cherno More vs Botev Plovdiv
2:0
Nov 29, 2025 efbet League
Botev Plovdiv vs Cherno More
2:1
Jul 27, 2025 efbet League
Cherno More vs Botev Plovdiv
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Botev Plovdiv Compare

Top Goalscorer Petrov S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mascote
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Cherno More Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botev Plovdiv 77 / 100
Cherno More 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botev Plovdiv Cherno More

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Botev Plovdiv Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Botev Plovdiv's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Cherno More let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Botev Plovdiv stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Botev Plovdiv VS Cherno More
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Botev Plovdiv

(Home)
19 Sept
Septemvri Sofia
0 : 3
Botev Plovdiv
13 Sept
Botev Plovdiv
2 : 0
Lok. Plovdiv
04 Sept
Arda
2 : 3
Botev Plovdiv
30 Aug
Botev Plovdiv
1 : 3
Levski Sofia
24 Aug
Botev Vratsa
1 : 0
Botev Plovdiv
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Cherno More

(Away)
19 Sept
Arda
1 : 1
Cherno More
11 Sept
Cherno More
2 : 2
Lok. Sofia
06 Sept
Lok. Plovdiv
1 : 0
Cherno More
30 Aug
CSKA Sofia
3 : 1
Cherno More
21 Aug
Cherno More
3 : 1
Dunav Ruse
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
5 Lok. Plovdiv 36 14 13 9 36:41 55
6 Arda 36 15 9 12 42:34 54
7 Cherno More 36 14 12 10 40:34 54
8 Botev Plovdiv 36 13 7 16 49:45 46
Promotion - efbet League 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)