Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Botev Plovdiv vs Lok. Plovdiv

Bulgaria Bulgaria

efbet League 2025/2026 Stadion Hristo Botev, Plovdiv
Botev Plovdiv Logo

Botev Plovdiv

0 - 2
FT
Lok. Plovdiv Logo

Lok. Plovdiv

Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Rodriguez E.
18' Event
Zwarts J.
Assist: Itu C.
24'
Sub
Iliev N. In: Mascote
Out: Iliev N.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Lok. Plovdiv in this efbet League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lok. Plovdiv.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Botev Plovdiv
15%
Draws
26%
Lok. Plovdiv
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Botev Plovdiv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Lok. Plovdiv haven't matched Botev Plovdiv's recent run of results.
  • Botev Plovdiv are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular efbet League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Botev Plovdiv Clean Sheet 68%
Lok. Plovdiv Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botev Plovdiv Lok. Plovdiv
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 13
Draws 4 6
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.73 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.97 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2026 efbet League
Lok. Plovdiv vs Botev Plovdiv
2:1
May 3, 2026 efbet League
Botev Plovdiv vs Lok. Plovdiv
0:2
Apr 8, 2026 efbet League
Botev Plovdiv vs Lok. Plovdiv
1:1
Feb 12, 2026 Bulgarian Cup
Lok. Plovdiv vs Botev Plovdiv
1:0
Nov 1, 2025 efbet League
Lok. Plovdiv vs Botev Plovdiv
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Botev Plovdiv Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Lok. Plovdiv Compare

Top Goalscorer Zwarts J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botev Plovdiv 59 / 100
Lok. Plovdiv 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botev Plovdiv Lok. Plovdiv

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Botev Plovdiv Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Botev Plovdiv found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Lok. Plovdiv's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Botev Plovdiv stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Botev Plovdiv VS Lok. Plovdiv
2.13 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Botev Plovdiv

(Home)
15 Aug
Ludogorets
2 : 0
Botev Plovdiv
10 Aug
Botev Plovdiv
3 : 2
Spartak Varna
01 Aug
Botev Plovdiv
1 : 0
Cherno More
27 Jul
CSKA Sofia
3 : 2
Botev Plovdiv
21 Jul
Botev Plovdiv
1 : 1
Lok. Sofia
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Lok. Plovdiv

(Away)
16 Aug
Lok. Plovdiv
1 : 2
Dunav Ruse
07 Aug
Levski Sofia
2 : 0
Lok. Plovdiv
03 Aug
Spartak Varna
1 : 0
Lok. Plovdiv
26 Jul
Lok. Plovdiv
2 : 1
Septemvri Sofia
18 Jul
Ludogorets
1 : 0
Lok. Plovdiv
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
5 Lok. Plovdiv 36 14 13 9 36:41 55
6 Arda 36 15 9 12 42:34 54
7 Cherno More 36 14 12 10 40:34 54
8 Botev Plovdiv 36 13 7 16 49:45 46
Promotion - efbet League 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)