Sport Picks
Botev Plovdiv vs Lok. Sofia
Bulgaria
efbet League Stadion Hristo Botev, Plovdiv 
Match Events
5'
5'
Sub
Katsarov B. In: Kostov K.
Out: Katsarov B.
43'
43'
Kostadinov D.
46'
46'
Sub
Papazov M. In: Penev N.
Out: Papazov M.
AI Match Summary
The efbet League game between Botev Plovdiv and Lok. Sofia finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
60%
20%
20%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Botev Plovdiv
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
60%
/ High Confidence
- Lok. Sofia haven't matched Botev Plovdiv's recent run of results.
- 60% — that's where the model lands on Botev Plovdiv taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Botev Plovdiv Clean Sheet 20%
Lok. Sofia Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Botev Plovdiv | Lok. Sofia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 27 |
| Wins | 15 | 6 |
| Draws | 4 | 11 |
| Losses | 10 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.76 | 1.56 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.97 | 1.7 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 21, 2026 efbet League
Botev Plovdiv vs Lok. Sofia
1:1
Mar 27, 2026 Club Friendly
Botev Plovdiv vs Lok. Sofia
3:1
Dec 6, 2025 efbet League
Lok. Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv
3:2
Aug 10, 2025 efbet League
Botev Plovdiv vs Lok. Sofia
0:1
Apr 18, 2025 efbet League
Lok. Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Botev Plovdiv Compare
Top Goalscorer Meotti C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Lok. Sofia Compare
Top Goalscorer Kostadinov D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Botev Plovdiv 40 / 100
Lok. Sofia 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Botev Plovdiv Lok. Sofia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Botev Plovdiv Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Lok. Sofia conceded in 85% of 27 recent games.
Botev Plovdiv's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
Difficult form: Lok. Sofia registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Botev Plovdiv VS Lok. Sofia
2.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Botev Plovdiv
(Home) 30 Aug
Botev Plovdiv
1 : 3 Levski Sofia
24 Aug
Botev Vratsa
1 : 0 Botev Plovdiv
15 Aug
Ludogorets
2 : 0 Botev Plovdiv
10 Aug
Botev Plovdiv
3 : 2 Spartak Varna
01 Aug
Botev Plovdiv
1 : 0 Cherno More
Page 1 of 6
30 Aug
Botev Plovdiv
1 : 3 Levski Sofia
10 Aug
Botev Plovdiv
3 : 2 Spartak Varna
01 Aug
Botev Plovdiv
1 : 0 Cherno More
21 Jul
Botev Plovdiv
1 : 1 Lok. Sofia
12 Jul
Botev Plovdiv
4 : 0 Beroe
Page 1 of 4
Lok. Sofia
(Away) 31 Aug
Dunav Ruse
2 : 2 Lok. Sofia
17 Aug
Arda
3 : 1 Lok. Sofia
08 Aug
Lok. Sofia
1 : 3 CSKA 1948 Sofia
31 Jul
Slavia Sofia
1 : 1 Lok. Sofia
25 Jul
Lok. Sofia
1 : 2 Levski Sofia
Page 1 of 6
31 Aug
Dunav Ruse
2 : 2 Lok. Sofia
17 Aug
Arda
3 : 1 Lok. Sofia
31 Jul
Slavia Sofia
1 : 1 Lok. Sofia
21 Jul
Botev Plovdiv
1 : 1 Lok. Sofia
22 May
Spartak Varna
3 : 0 Lok. Sofia
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Levski Sofia | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 20:4 | 21 |
| 2 | Ludogorets | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12:5 | 17 |
| 3 | CSKA Sofia | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16:4 | 16 |
| 4 | CSKA 1948 Sofia | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15:7 | 16 |
| 5 | Arda | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 11:4 | 16 |
| 6 | Septemvri Sofia | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5:10 | 8 |
| 7 | Spartak Varna | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:13 | 8 |
| 8 | Slavia Sofia | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7:6 | 7 |
| 9 | Botev Plovdiv | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8:12 | 7 |
| 10 | Cherno More | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8:16 | 4 |
| 11 | Botev Vratsa | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4:15 | 4 |
| 12 | Dunav Ruse | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7:14 | 4 |
| 13 | Lok. Sofia | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7:12 | 3 |
| 14 | Lok. Plovdiv | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3:10 | 3 |
Promotion - efbet League (Championship Group)
Promotion - efbet League (Conference League Group)
Relegation - efbet League (Relegation Group)
