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Botev Plovdiv vs Lok. Sofia

Bulgaria Bulgaria

efbet League Stadion Hristo Botev
Mon, Jul 20, 2026
VS
06:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Botev Plovdiv host Lok. Sofia in the efbet League. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Recent numbers: Botev Plovdiv at 2.38 goals for, 0.88 against; Lok. Sofia at 1 for, 1 against. Past meetings favor Botev Plovdiv slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 27, 2026, ending 3:1. xG projections (1.69 - 0.94) back Botev Plovdiv to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Botev Plovdiv
6%
Draws
4%
Lok. Sofia
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Botev Plovdiv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Lok. Sofia haven't matched Botev Plovdiv's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Botev Plovdiv taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Botev Plovdiv Clean Sheet 20%
Lok. Sofia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botev Plovdiv Lok. Sofia
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 17 8
Draws 4 9
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 2.38 1
Goals Conceded 0.88 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 27, 2026 Club Friendly
Botev Plovdiv vs Lok. Sofia
3:1
Dec 6, 2025 efbet League
Lok. Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv
3:2
Aug 10, 2025 efbet League
Botev Plovdiv vs Lok. Sofia
0:1
Apr 18, 2025 efbet League
Lok. Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv
1:1
Dec 15, 2024 Bulgarian Cup
Lok. Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv
1:5

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botev Plovdiv 85 / 100
Lok. Sofia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botev Plovdiv Lok. Sofia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BOT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Botev Plovdiv's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Lok. Sofia has conceded goals in 78% of their last 27 outings.

Botev Plovdiv has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Botev Plovdiv VS Lok. Sofia
2.38 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Botev Plovdiv00000:00
2Cherno More00000:00
3CSKA Sofia00000:00
4Lok. Plovdiv00000:00
5Levski Sofia00000:00
6Lok. Sofia00000:00
7Slavia Sofia00000:00
8Spartak Varna00000:00
9Dunav Ruse00000:00
10Botev Vratsa00000:00
11Ludogorets00000:00
12Arda00000:00
13Septemvri Sofia00000:00
14CSKA 1948 Sofia00000:00