Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Botev Plovdiv vs Spartak Varna

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

68' Event
Tsonov S.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Botev Plovdiv and Spartak Varna finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Botev Plovdiv.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Botev Plovdiv
30%
Draws
18%
Spartak Varna
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Botev Plovdiv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Botev Plovdiv carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Botev Plovdiv's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Botev Plovdiv have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Botev Plovdiv Clean Sheet 17%
Spartak Varna Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botev Plovdiv Spartak Varna
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 8
Draws 3 9
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.9 1.1
Goals Conceded 1 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 10, 2026 efbet League
Botev Plovdiv vs Spartak Varna
3:2
Jul 4, 2026 Club Friendly
Botev Plovdiv vs Spartak Varna
1:0
Apr 4, 2026 efbet League
Botev Plovdiv vs Spartak Varna
5:0
Jan 28, 2026 Club Friendly
Botev Plovdiv vs Spartak Varna
1:0
Dec 13, 2025 Bulgarian Cup
Spartak Varna vs Botev Plovdiv
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Botev Plovdiv Compare

Top Goalscorer Tsonov S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Spartak Varna Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botev Plovdiv 84 / 100
Spartak Varna 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botev Plovdiv Spartak Varna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Botev Plovdiv Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Botev Plovdiv scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Spartak Varna conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Botev Plovdiv stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Botev Plovdiv VS Spartak Varna
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Botev Plovdiv

(Home)
19 Sept
Septemvri Sofia
0 : 3
Botev Plovdiv
13 Sept
Botev Plovdiv
2 : 0
Lok. Plovdiv
04 Sept
Arda
2 : 3
Botev Plovdiv
30 Aug
Botev Plovdiv
1 : 3
Levski Sofia
24 Aug
Botev Vratsa
1 : 0
Botev Plovdiv
Page 1 of 6

Spartak Varna

(Away)
20 Sept
Spartak Varna
0 : 1
Lok. Sofia
13 Sept
Slavia Sofia
0 : 0
Spartak Varna
05 Sept
Spartak Varna
1 : 1
CSKA Sofia
30 Aug
Spartak Varna
1 : 1
Ludogorets
22 Aug
Levski Sofia
6 : 0
Spartak Varna
Page 1 of 6