Sport Picks
Botev Plovdiv vs Spartak Varna
Bulgaria
efbet League Stadion Hristo Botev, Plovdiv 
Match Events
4'
4'
Mascote
Assist: Mendes V.
28'
28'
Chandarov A.
Assist: Meotti C.
39'
39'
Kalu S.
Assist: Meotti C.
AI Match Summary
The efbet League game between Botev Plovdiv and Spartak Varna finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Botev Plovdiv.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
52%
30%
18%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Botev Plovdiv
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Botev Plovdiv carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Botev Plovdiv a 52% chance of winning this.
- Regular efbet League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Botev Plovdiv here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Botev Plovdiv Clean Sheet 17%
Spartak Varna Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Botev Plovdiv | Spartak Varna |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 17 | 8 |
| Draws | 3 | 9 |
| Losses | 10 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.9 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 10, 2026 efbet League
Botev Plovdiv vs Spartak Varna
3:2
Jul 4, 2026 Club Friendly
Botev Plovdiv vs Spartak Varna
1:0
Apr 4, 2026 efbet League
Botev Plovdiv vs Spartak Varna
5:0
Jan 28, 2026 Club Friendly
Botev Plovdiv vs Spartak Varna
1:0
Dec 13, 2025 Bulgarian Cup
Spartak Varna vs Botev Plovdiv
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Botev Plovdiv Compare
Top Goalscorer Mascote
1 Goals Assists Leader Chandarov A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Spartak Varna Compare
Top Goalscorer Ahmedov A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Botev Plovdiv 84 / 100
Spartak Varna 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Botev Plovdiv Spartak Varna
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Botev Plovdiv Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Botev Plovdiv scored in 83% of their last 30 games.
Spartak Varna's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Solid form: Botev Plovdiv remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Botev Plovdiv VS Spartak Varna
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Botev Plovdiv
(Home) 19 Sept
Septemvri Sofia
0 : 3 Botev Plovdiv
13 Sept
Botev Plovdiv
2 : 0 Lok. Plovdiv
04 Sept
Arda
2 : 3 Botev Plovdiv
30 Aug
Botev Plovdiv
1 : 3 Levski Sofia
24 Aug
Botev Vratsa
1 : 0 Botev Plovdiv
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13 Sept
Botev Plovdiv
2 : 0 Lok. Plovdiv
30 Aug
Botev Plovdiv
1 : 3 Levski Sofia
10 Aug
Botev Plovdiv
3 : 2 Spartak Varna
01 Aug
Botev Plovdiv
1 : 0 Cherno More
21 Jul
Botev Plovdiv
1 : 1 Lok. Sofia
Page 1 of 4
Spartak Varna
(Away) 20 Sept
Spartak Varna
0 : 1 Lok. Sofia
13 Sept
Slavia Sofia
0 : 0 Spartak Varna
05 Sept
Spartak Varna
1 : 1 CSKA Sofia
30 Aug
Spartak Varna
1 : 1 Ludogorets
22 Aug
Levski Sofia
6 : 0 Spartak Varna
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13 Sept
Slavia Sofia
0 : 0 Spartak Varna
22 Aug
Levski Sofia
6 : 0 Spartak Varna
10 Aug
Botev Plovdiv
3 : 2 Spartak Varna
26 Jul
Cherno More
0 : 3 Spartak Varna
04 Jul
Botev Plovdiv
1 : 0 Spartak Varna
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Levski Sofia | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 21:4 | 25 |
| 2 | CSKA Sofia | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 24:7 | 24 |
| 3 | Ludogorets | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 16:7 | 23 |
| 4 | CSKA 1948 Sofia | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 19:10 | 22 |
| 5 | Arda | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 15:12 | 17 |
| 6 | Botev Plovdiv | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 16:14 | 16 |
| 7 | Slavia Sofia | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 8 | Spartak Varna | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10:15 | 10 |
| 9 | Botev Vratsa | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9:19 | 9 |
| 10 | Septemvri Sofia | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8:18 | 8 |
| 11 | Lok. Sofia | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11:18 | 7 |
| 12 | Lok. Plovdiv | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5:13 | 7 |
| 13 | Cherno More | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11:20 | 6 |
| 14 | Dunav Ruse | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10:19 | 5 |
Promotion - efbet League (Championship Group)
Promotion - efbet League (Conference League Group)
Relegation - efbet League (Relegation Group)
