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Botev Vratsa II vs Gorna - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-West 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - North-West 2023/2024 game between Botev Vratsa II and Gorna finished 1-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gorna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Botev Vratsa II
30%
Draws
42%
Gorna
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gorna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Botev Vratsa II haven't matched Gorna's recent run of results.
  • Gorna are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Third League - North-West 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Gorna have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Botev Vratsa II Clean Sheet 20%
Gorna Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botev Vratsa II Gorna
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 11
Draws 4 6
Losses 19 13
Goals Scored 1.3 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2024 Third League - North-West
Botev Vratsa II vs Gorna
1:5
Oct 22, 2023 Third League - North-West
Gorna vs Botev Vratsa II
2:0
Mar 4, 2023 Third League - North-West
Gorna vs Botev Vratsa II
8:0
Aug 13, 2022 Third League - North-West
Botev Vratsa II vs Gorna
0:2
May 14, 2022 Third League - North-West
Botev Vratsa II vs Gorna
1:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botev Vratsa II 20 / 100
Gorna 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botev Vratsa II Gorna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gorna Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.80 goals.

Botev Vratsa II scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Gorna's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Botev Vratsa II has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Gorna
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Botev Vratsa II

(Home)
01 Jun
Botev Vratsa II
1 : 2
Lokomotiv Mezdra
26 May
Akademik Svishtov
3 : 0
Botev Vratsa II
18 May
Botev Vratsa II
2 : 0
OFK Levski
11 May
Dunav Lom
0 : 3
Botev Vratsa II
03 May
Botev Vratsa II
1 : 5
Gorna
Page 1 of 6

Gorna

(Away)
04 Oct
Natsional Sofia
1 : 3
Gorna
26 Sept
Gorna
0 : 0
Marek
20 Sept
Yantra Gabrovo
0 : 1
Gorna
15 Sept
Gorna
1 : 1
Nesebar
07 Sept
Svoge
0 : 0
Gorna
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gorna 28 27 1 0 93:14 82
2 Akademik Svishtov 28 22 2 4 66:13 68
3 Sevlievo 28 19 4 5 69:22 61
4 Lokomotiv Mezdra 28 16 6 6 58:32 54
5 Yantra Polski Trambesh 28 15 5 8 58:46 50
6 Etar II 28 14 2 12 49:42 44
7 Vihar Slavyanovo 28 10 5 13 45:44 35
8 Pavlikeni 28 9 4 15 43:70 31
9 Drenovets 28 8 5 15 35:63 29
10 Juventus Malchika 28 8 2 18 45:75 26
11 OFK Levski 28 7 5 16 31:50 26
12 Botev Vratsa II 28 6 4 18 36:53 22
13 Partizan Cerven Brjag 28 5 1 22 26:80 16
14 Boruna 28 8 5 15 40:64 29
15 Dunav Lom 28 10 1 17 28:54 31
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