Sport Picks

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Botev Vratsa vs Arda

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

62' Event
Petkov M.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Botev Vratsa and Arda finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Botev Vratsa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Botev Vratsa
15%
Draws
68%
Arda
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Arda carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Arda are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Botev Vratsa Clean Sheet 16%
Arda Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botev Vratsa Arda
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 14
Draws 10 6
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.07 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.14 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2026 efbet League
Arda vs Botev Vratsa
2:0
Jul 10, 2026 Club Friendly
Botev Vratsa vs Arda
1:0
Mar 7, 2026 efbet League
Botev Vratsa vs Arda
1:0
Feb 11, 2026 Bulgarian Cup
Botev Vratsa vs Arda
2:3
Sep 28, 2025 efbet League
Arda vs Botev Vratsa
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Botev Vratsa Compare

Top Goalscorer Petkov M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Arda Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botev Vratsa 10 / 100
Arda 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botev Vratsa Arda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arda Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Botev Vratsa scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Defensive concern: Arda conceded in 55% of 29 recent games.

Botev Vratsa went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Botev Vratsa VS Arda
1 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Botev Vratsa

(Home)
31 Aug
Arda
2 : 0
Botev Vratsa
24 Aug
Botev Vratsa
1 : 0
Botev Plovdiv
16 Aug
CSKA Sofia
5 : 0
Botev Vratsa
10 Aug
Botev Vratsa
0 : 3
Slavia Sofia
02 Aug
Ludogorets
2 : 1
Botev Vratsa
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Arda

(Away)
31 Aug
Arda
2 : 0
Botev Vratsa
24 Aug
Lok. Plovdiv
0 : 1
Arda
17 Aug
Arda
3 : 1
Lok. Sofia
08 Aug
Dunav Ruse
0 : 2
Arda
31 Jul
CSKA 1948 Sofia
2 : 1
Arda
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