Sport Picks

Bulgaria

efbet League 2025/2026 Hristo Botev Stadium

Montana

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Botev Vratsa play Montana in the efbet League 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Botev Vratsa averaged 1.18 goals scored and 0.96 conceded. Montana averaged 0.66 goals scored and 1.55 conceded. In past meetings, Botev Vratsa won 1, Montana won 0, and they drew 4. Their last match on May 14, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.88 for Botev Vratsa and 0.88 for Montana. This points to a Botev Vratsa double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%

Botev Vratsa

35%

Draws

18%

Montana

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Botev Vratsa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence

Botev Vratsa picked up more points recently compared to Montana.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.88 vs 0.88 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 52%

Over 2.5 Goals 35%

Over 3.5 Goals 21%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%

Botev Vratsa Clean Sheet 25%

Montana Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 47%

Second Half Goal 49%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Botev Vratsa	Montana
Matches Played	28	29
Wins	9	3
Draws	14	9
Losses	5	17
Goals Scored	1.18	0.66
Goals Conceded	0.96	1.55
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2026 efbet League

Botev Vratsa vs Montana

Possession: 59% - 59% Cards: 4 - 2

1:0

Dec 9, 2025 efbet League

Botev Vratsa vs Montana

Possession: 44% - 52% Cards: 2 - 3

0:0

Aug 8, 2025 efbet League

Montana vs Botev Vratsa

Possession: 41% - 40% Cards: 3 - 3

0:0

Jan 25, 2025 Club Friendly

Botev Vratsa vs Montana

Possession: 55% - 49% Cards: 3 - 2

1:1

Jul 13, 2024 Club Friendly

Botev Vratsa vs Montana

Possession: 59% - 45% Cards: 0 - 0

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Botev Vratsa Compare

Top Goalscorer Genov D.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

Montana Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botev Vratsa 47 / 100

Montana 18 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Botev Vratsa Montana

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Botev Vratsa or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +20.3%

2.56

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +20.8%

3.45

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Botev Vratsa attacking → ← attacking Montana

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Botev Vratsa scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Montana let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 0.60 goals.

Botev Vratsa went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Montana lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

41 Points in last 5 18

1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.00

0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.25

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
9	Botev Vratsa	37	13	14	10	36:32	53
10	Lok. Sofia	37	11	14	12	51:48	47
11	Slavia Sofia	37	12	10	15	42:44	46
12	Spartak Varna	37	8	13	16	35:57	37
13	Septemvri Sofia	37	9	9	19	32:64	36
14	Beroe	37	7	13	17	28:52	34
15	Dobrudzha	37	8	7	22	28:52	31
16	Montana	37	4	11	22	21:55	23