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Botev Vratsa vs Spartak Pleven

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

57' Event
Thiesen C.
62' Event
Petkov M.
70' Event
Mechev S.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Botev Vratsa and Spartak Pleven finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Botev Vratsa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Botev Vratsa
20%
Draws
34%
Spartak Pleven
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Botev Vratsa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Botev Vratsa come out ahead of Spartak Pleven on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Botev Vratsa's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Botev Vratsa Clean Sheet 14%
Spartak Pleven Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botev Vratsa Spartak Pleven
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 11 10
Draws 10 4
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.21 1.22
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 1, 2026 Club Friendly
Botev Vratsa vs Spartak Pleven
2:1
Jan 14, 2023 Club Friendly
Botev Vratsa vs Spartak Pleven
2:0
Jun 29, 2022 Club Friendly
Botev Vratsa vs Spartak Pleven
0:1
Mar 11, 2017 Vtora liga
Botev Vratsa vs Spartak Pleven
1:1
Sep 10, 2016 Vtora liga
Spartak Pleven vs Botev Vratsa
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Botev Vratsa Compare

Top Goalscorer Petkov M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mechev S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Spartak Pleven Compare

Top Goalscorer Thiesen C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botev Vratsa 39 / 100
Spartak Pleven 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botev Vratsa Spartak Pleven

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Botev Vratsa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Botev Vratsa scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Spartak Pleven let in goals in 70% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Botev Vratsa stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Botev Vratsa VS Spartak Pleven
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Botev Vratsa

(Home)
19 Sept
Dunav Ruse
2 : 2
Botev Vratsa
13 Sept
Botev Vratsa
0 : 0
Levski Sofia
04 Sept
Septemvri Sofia
2 : 3
Botev Vratsa
31 Aug
Arda
2 : 0
Botev Vratsa
24 Aug
Botev Vratsa
1 : 0
Botev Plovdiv
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Spartak Pleven

(Away)
21 Sept
Spartak Pleven
1 : 0
Ludogorets II
13 Sept
Chernomorets 1919
3 : 0
Spartak Pleven
07 Sept
Spartak Pleven
3 : 2
Hebar
03 Sept
CSKA Sofia II
5 : 1
Spartak Pleven
30 Aug
Spartak Pleven
0 : 2
Vihren
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