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Stadium Background

Botswana vs Cape Verde

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations 2025 Obed Itani Chilume Stadium, Francistown
Botswana Logo

Botswana

1 - 0
FT
Cape Verde Logo

Cape Verde

Our Tip

Match Events

2'
Johnson M.
22'
Ramotse O.
46'
Sub
Majafi K. In: Baruti G.
Out: Majafi K.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Botswana advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Botswana
30%
Draws
47%
Cape Verde
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cape Verde

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cape Verde come out ahead of Botswana on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Cape Verde's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Cape Verde arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Botswana, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Botswana Clean Sheet 12%
Cape Verde Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botswana Cape Verde
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 6 13
Draws 8 7
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 0.75 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 15, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations
Botswana vs Cape Verde
1:0
Oct 10, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations
Cape Verde vs Botswana
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Botswana Compare

Top Goalscorer Sesinyi T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Cape Verde Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botswana 10 / 100
Cape Verde 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botswana Cape Verde

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cape Verde Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Botswana scored in 50% of their last 28 outings.

Cape Verde has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Botswana has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Botswana VS Cape Verde
0.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Botswana

(Home)
31 Mar
Botswana
1 : 0
Malawi
28 Mar
Botswana
0 : 3
Zimbabwe
30 Dec
Botswana
0 : 3
D.R. Congo
27 Dec
Benin
1 : 0
Botswana
23 Dec
Senegal
3 : 0
Botswana
Page 1 of 6

Cape Verde

(Away)
03 Jul
Argentina
3 : 2
Cape Verde
27 Jun
Cape Verde
0 : 0
Saudi Arabia
21 Jun
Uruguay
2 : 2
Cape Verde
15 Jun
Spain
0 : 0
Cape Verde
06 Jun
Cape Verde
3 : 0
Bermuda
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Comoros 6 3 3 0 7:4 12
2 Tunisia 6 3 1 2 7:6 10
3 Gambia 6 2 2 2 6:6 8
4 Madagascar 6 0 2 4 4:8 2
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco 6 6 0 0 26:2 18
2 Gabon 6 3 1 2 7:9 10
3 Lesotho 6 1 1 4 2:13 4
4 Central Africa 6 1 0 5 3:14 3
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Egypt 6 4 2 0 12:2 14
2 Botswana 6 2 2 2 4:7 8
3 Mauritania 6 2 1 3 3:6 7
4 Cape Verde 6 1 1 4 3:7 4
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nigeria 6 3 2 1 9:3 11
2 Benin 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
3 Rwanda 6 2 2 2 5:7 8
4 Libya 6 1 2 3 3:7 5
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Algeria 6 5 1 0 16:2 16
2 Equatorial Guinea 6 2 2 2 5:8 8
3 Togo 6 1 2 3 7:10 5
4 Liberia 6 1 1 4 4:12 4
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Angola 6 4 2 0 7:2 14
2 Sudan 6 2 2 2 4:6 8
3 Niger 6 2 1 3 7:6 7
4 Ghana 6 0 3 3 3:7 3
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zambia 6 4 1 1 7:4 13
2 Ivory Coast 6 4 0 2 12:3 12
3 Sierra Leone 6 1 2 3 5:10 5
4 Chad 6 0 3 3 1:8 3
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 D.R. Congo 6 4 0 2 7:3 12
2 Tanzania 6 3 1 2 5:4 10
3 Guinea 6 3 0 3 9:5 9
4 Ethiopia 6 1 1 4 3:12 4
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mali 6 4 2 0 10:1 14
2 Mozambique 6 3 2 1 9:5 11
3 Guinea Bissau 6 1 2 3 4:6 5
4 Eswatini 6 0 2 4 2:13 2
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cameroon 6 4 2 0 8:2 14
2 Zimbabwe 6 2 3 1 6:4 9
3 Kenya 6 1 3 2 4:7 6
4 Namibia 6 0 2 4 2:7 2
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Africa 6 4 2 0 16:5 14
2 Uganda 6 4 1 1 8:5 13
3 Congo 6 1 1 4 4:12 4
4 South Sudan 6 1 0 5 6:12 3
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Senegal 6 5 1 0 10:1 16
2 Burkina Faso 6 3 1 2 10:7 10
3 Burundi 6 1 1 4 4:11 4
4 Malawi 6 1 1 4 6:11 4
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)