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Bouake vs Tchologo

Ivory Coast Ivory Coast

Ligue 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 2025/2026 game between Bouake and Tchologo finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bouake.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Bouake
30%
Draws
43%
Tchologo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tchologo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Tchologo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Bouake Clean Sheet 20%
Tchologo Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bouake Tchologo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 12
Draws 11 9
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 0.8 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.83 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Ligue 1
Tchologo vs Bouake
2:1
Dec 2, 2025 Ligue 1
Bouake vs Tchologo
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bouake 36 / 100
Tchologo 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bouake Tchologo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tchologo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Bouake went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Bouake scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Tchologo conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Bouake VS Tchologo
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
0.25 Goals Conceded 1
25% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bouake

(Home)
24 May
SO Armee
0 : 0
Bouake
16 May
Bouake
1 : 2
Stella Adjame
10 May
Tchologo
2 : 1
Bouake
02 May
SOL
0 : 1
Bouake
26 Apr
Bouake
1 : 0
ASEC Mimosas
Page 1 of 6

Tchologo

(Away)
24 May
Agboville
0 : 0
Tchologo
18 May
Tchologo
0 : 0
SO Armee
10 May
Tchologo
2 : 1
Bouake
03 May
Korhogo
0 : 3
Tchologo
26 Apr
Tchologo
2 : 1
Stade d'Abidjan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ASEC Mimosas 30 19 5 6 50:21 62
2 San Pedro 30 14 10 6 43:32 52
3 Academie de FAD 30 14 8 8 40:24 50
4 Mouna 30 14 6 10 42:30 48
5 Tchologo 30 12 9 9 29:29 45
6 Stade d'Abidjan 30 12 7 11 30:28 43
7 Stella Adjame 30 11 9 10 28:28 42
8 SOL 30 12 3 15 33:46 39
9 Korhogo 30 10 8 12 31:32 38
10 Bouake 30 9 11 10 24:25 38
11 SO Armee 30 9 10 11 23:23 37
12 ISCA 30 10 6 14 16:27 36
13 Agboville 30 8 10 12 20:30 34
14 Zoman 30 8 9 13 20:32 33
15 Olympique Sport 30 8 8 14 27:40 32
16 Racing d'Abidjan 30 6 9 15 24:33 27
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)