Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bouchamma vs Stade Gabesien - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue 2
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bouchamma host Stade Gabesien in the Ligue 2. Little to choose between these two on current form. Bouchamma have averaged 1.28 scored and 1.24 conceded recently, against Stade Gabesien's 1.43 scored and 0.69 conceded. Past meetings favor Stade Gabesien slightly — 0-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 29, 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 1.19) point toward Stade Gabesien. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Bouchamma
30%
Draws
23%
Stade Gabesien
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bouchamma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Bouchamma haven't matched Stade Gabesien's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Bouchamma a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Bouchamma Clean Sheet 20%
Stade Gabesien Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bouchamma Stade Gabesien
Matches Played 29 35
Wins 10 19
Draws 8 11
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 1.28 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.24 0.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Ligue 2
Bouchamma vs Stade Gabesien
1:2
Nov 2, 2025 Ligue 2
Stade Gabesien vs Bouchamma
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bouchamma 85 / 100
Stade Gabesien 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bouchamma Stade Gabesien

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bouchamma Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bouchamma's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Bouchamma stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Stade Gabesien conceded in 49% of 35 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Bouchamma VS Stade Gabesien
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bouchamma

(Home)
04 Oct
Redeyef
3 : 0
Bouchamma
27 Sept
Bouchamma
1 : 0
Korba
12 May
Bouchamma
1 : 1
Korba
02 May
Sidi Bouzid
0 : 2
Bouchamma
28 Apr
Bouchamma
5 : 0
Ariana
Page 1 of 6

Stade Gabesien

(Away)
04 Oct
Stade Gabesien
0 : 0
Moknine
27 Sept
Ariana
1 : 1
Stade Gabesien
30 May
Hammam-Lif
3 : 0
Stade Gabesien
25 May
Stade Gabesien
2 : 0
US Tataouine
20 May
CS Sfaxien
2 : 1
Stade Gabesien
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 EM Mahdia 2 2 0 0 4:2 6
2 Soliman 2 1 1 0 4:1 4
3 Megrine 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
4 Msaken 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
5 Sfax Railways 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
6 BS Bouhajla 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
7 Sporting Ben Arous 2 1 0 1 4:2 3
8 US Tataouine 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
9 ES Beni-Khalled 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
10 Stade Soussien 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
11 AS Gabes 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
12 Chebba 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
13 AS Agareb 2 0 1 1 2:5 1
14 Kerkennah 2 0 0 2 2:4 0
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Redeyef 2 2 0 0 6:0 6
2 Kasserine 2 2 0 0 3:1 6
3 JS Kairouan 2 2 0 0 2:0 6
4 Ksour Essef 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
5 Korba 2 1 0 1 3:1 3
6 Kalaa 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
7 Jendouba Sport 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
8 Bouchamma 2 1 0 1 1:3 3
9 Stade Gabesien 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
10 Ariana 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
11 Olympique Kef 2 0 1 1 0:1 1
12 Moknine 2 0 1 1 0:3 1
13 CO Medenine 2 0 0 2 1:3 0
14 Gafsa 2 0 0 2 1:5 0
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)