Sport Picks

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Bougouba vs Mali Coura

Mali Mali

Premiere Division
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premiere Division matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Bougouba
33%
Draws
40%
Mali Coura
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Mali Coura

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Bougouba have won more games recently than Mali Coura.
  • Mali Coura are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Premiere Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 18%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Bougouba Clean Sheet 25%
Mali Coura Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bougouba Mali Coura
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 10 4
Draws 7 8
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 0.88 0.75
Goals Conceded 1 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2026 Premiere Division
Bougouba vs Mali Coura
1:1
Jan 11, 2026 Premiere Division
Mali Coura vs Bougouba
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bougouba 29 / 100
Mali Coura 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bougouba Mali Coura

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mali Coura's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 27 matches.

Bougouba found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Bougouba remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bougouba VS Mali Coura
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Djoliba26185341:1259
2Stade Malien26148428:1550
3Real Bamako26147532:1449
4Diarra26135832:2444
5Binga26127728:1543
6USFAS Bamako26126837:2742
7Korofina26961128:3133
8Bougouba26871121:3431
9Derby Academie26514719:2229
10Bakaridjan26691120:2727
11Foot Elite26761323:3827
12Onze Createurs26681216:2426
13Mali Coura26481420:3120
14US Bougouni26441812:4316