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Bougouba vs Mali Coura

Mali Mali

Premiere Division
Bougouba Logo

Bougouba

1 - 1
FT
Mali Coura Logo

Mali Coura

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premiere Division matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Bougouba
30%
Draws
29%
Mali Coura
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bougouba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Bougouba have won more games recently than Mali Coura.
  • Mali Coura are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Premiere Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 18%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Bougouba Clean Sheet 25%
Mali Coura Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bougouba Mali Coura
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 10 4
Draws 7 8
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 0.93 0.74
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2026 Premiere Division
Bougouba vs Mali Coura
1:1
Jan 11, 2026 Premiere Division
Mali Coura vs Bougouba
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bougouba 29 / 100
Mali Coura 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bougouba Mali Coura

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mali Coura Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mali Coura's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 27 matches.

Bougouba found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Bougouba remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bougouba VS Mali Coura
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bougouba

(Home)
13 Jun
Real Bamako
4 : 0
Bougouba
09 Jun
Bougouba
2 : 6
Diarra
05 Jun
Binga
0 : 1
Bougouba
31 May
Bougouba
1 : 1
Bakaridjan
25 May
USFAS Bamako
0 : 2
Bougouba
Page 1 of 6

Mali Coura

(Away)
14 Jun
USFAS Bamako
2 : 1
Mali Coura
10 Jun
Derby Academie
2 : 2
Mali Coura
04 Jun
Mali Coura
2 : 0
US Bougouni
31 May
Onze Createurs
1 : 0
Mali Coura
24 May
Mali Coura
1 : 1
Stade Malien
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Djoliba 26 18 5 3 41:12 59
2 Stade Malien 26 14 8 4 28:15 50
3 Real Bamako 26 14 7 5 32:14 49
4 Diarra 26 13 5 8 32:24 44
5 Binga 26 12 7 7 28:15 43
6 USFAS Bamako 26 12 6 8 37:27 42
7 Korofina 26 9 6 11 28:31 33
8 Bougouba 26 8 7 11 21:34 31
9 Derby Academie 26 5 14 7 19:22 29
10 Bakaridjan 26 6 9 11 20:27 27
11 Foot Elite 26 7 6 13 23:38 27
12 Onze Createurs 26 6 8 12 16:24 26
13 Mali Coura 26 4 8 14 20:31 20
14 US Bougouni 26 4 4 18 12:43 16
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)