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Bouguirat vs Kais

Algeria Algeria

Algeria Cup 2018/2019
Fri, Dec 28, 2018
2 - 1
01:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
7' Event
Meradji O.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Bouguirat advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Bouguirat
15%
Draws
32%
Kais
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bouguirat

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Kais have managed 1.17 goals a game lately — Bouguirat are scoring more at 1.67.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on Bouguirat taking it.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Bouguirat, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 91.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 33%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 83%
Bouguirat Clean Sheet 14%
Kais Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bouguirat Kais
Matches Played 3 6
Wins 2 2
Draws 0 0
Losses 1 4
Goals Scored 1.67 1.17
Goals Conceded 2 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.58
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 28, 2018 Algeria Cup
Bouguirat vs Kais
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bouguirat Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Kais Compare

Top Goalscorer Meradji O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.44
Avg xA / game 0.88

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bouguirat 48 / 100
Kais 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bouguirat Kais

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bouguirat Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bouguirat found the back of the net in 100% of recent matches (3 games).

Defensive concern: Kais conceded in 83% of 6 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Kais lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bouguirat VS Kais
1.67 Goals Scored 1.17
2 Goals Conceded 1.83
100% Over 1.5 83%
100% Over 2.5 67%
33% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Bouguirat

(Home)
21 Jan
Bejaia
4 : 1
Bouguirat
28 Dec
Bouguirat
2 : 1
Kais
19 Dec
MSP Batna
1 : 2
Bouguirat

Kais

(Away)
06 Dec
MO Constantine
3 : 1
Kais
28 Dec
Bouguirat
2 : 1
Kais
17 Dec
SA Setif
0 : 1
Kais
13 Jan
Kais
0 : 2
Bel Abbes
30 Dec
Kais
2 : 1
Village Moussa
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
CR Belouizdad 2
Tadjenant 0
ES Besbes 0
CA Batna 1
Ghriss 2
Kabylie 0
USM Setif 1
Mohammadia SA 2
MC Alger 3
RC Kouba 0
Hamra Annaba 0
Village Moussa 2
Khenchela 3
Chellala 1
Olympique Akbou 0
Hussein Dey 2
Oran 3
ASB Maghnia 2
NT Souf 0
SC Ain Defla 1
Remchi 1
Eulma 0
Abane Ramdane 0
Magra 1
Rouisset 2
JSM Tiaret 1
AS Surete Nationale 1
Ain Ouessara 2
Lakhdaria 1
Saoura 0
Bougaa 1
Constantine 3
ES Setif 1
Medea 0
Boumahra 1
Amal Bou Saada 2
Bel Abbes 2
Cherchell 0
ASM Oran 0
USM Alger 2
Bordj Bou Arreridj 1
GC Mascara 0
Draa Ben Khedda 0
Tlemcen 1
Bazer Sakhra 3
Beni Thour 2
Oued Sly 1
Annaba 3
Paradou 3
USM Blida 2
ISC Tlemcen 1
Beni Douala 2
MO Bejaia 2
Olympique Magrane 0
Guir Abadla 0
Harrach 2
Bouguirat 2
MSP Batna 1
SA Setif 0
Kais 1
Mlila 2
El Bayadh 1
Skikda 1
Bejaia 2
1/16-finals
CR Belouizdad 1
CA Batna 0
Ghriss 0
Mohammadia SA 1
MC Alger 3
Village Moussa 0
Khenchela 1
Hussein Dey 2
Oran 2
SC Ain Defla 1
Remchi 0
Magra 3
Rouisset 2
Ain Ouessara 0
Lakhdaria 0
Constantine 1
ES Setif 1
Amal Bou Saada 0
Bel Abbes 1
USM Alger 2
Bordj Bou Arreridj 1
Tlemcen 0
Bazer Sakhra 0
Annaba 3
Paradou 2
Beni Douala 0
MO Bejaia 0
Harrach 1
Bouguirat 2
Kais 1
Mlila 1
Bejaia 2
1/8-finals
CR Belouizdad 3
Mohammadia SA 0
MC Alger 0
Hussein Dey 1
Oran 2
Magra 0
Rouisset 1
Constantine 2
ES Setif 3
USM Alger 1
Bordj Bou Arreridj 1
Annaba 3
Paradou 3
Harrach 0
Bouguirat 1
Bejaia 4
Quarter-finals
CR Belouizdad 3
Hussein Dey 2
Oran 2
Constantine 3
ES Setif 4
Annaba 2
Paradou 1
Bejaia 1
Semi-finals
CR Belouizdad 2
Constantine 1
ES Setif 2
Bejaia 2
Final
CR Belouizdad 2
Bejaia 0