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Boulogne vs Guingamp II

France France

National 2 - Group C 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Flochon S.
40' Event
Fatou C.
47' Event
Epailly T.

AI Match Summary

The National 2 - Group C 2023/2024 game between Boulogne and Guingamp II finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Boulogne.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Boulogne
35%
Draws
32%
Guingamp II
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Guingamp II's 1.14 goals per match outpaces what Boulogne have produced (0.97).
  • Boulogne are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Boulogne Clean Sheet 19%
Guingamp II Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Boulogne Guingamp II
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 8 8
Draws 12 2
Losses 11 19
Goals Scored 0.97 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2024 National 1 - Group C
Boulogne vs Guingamp II
4:0
Nov 4, 2023 National 1 - Group C
Guingamp II vs Boulogne
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Boulogne Compare

Top Goalscorer Flochon S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fatou C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

Guingamp II Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Boulogne 36 / 100
Guingamp II 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Boulogne Guingamp II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guingamp II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Boulogne remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Guingamp II registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Boulogne VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Boulogne

(Home)
19 Sept
Boulogne
1 : 2
Nantes
11 Sept
Clermont
0 : 0
Boulogne
04 Sept
Boulogne
1 : 1
Dijon
28 Aug
Montpellier
0 : 0
Boulogne
21 Aug
Boulogne
1 : 1
Red Star
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Guingamp II

(Away)
09 Aug
Concarneau
2 : 1
Guingamp II
18 May
Guingamp II
2 : 3
Saint-Malo
11 May
Racing Club de France
2 : 0
Guingamp II
27 Apr
Guingamp II
2 : 2
AF Virois
20 Apr
Beauvais
0 : 3
Guingamp II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boulogne 26 15 6 5 48:29 51
2 Saint-Malo 26 12 8 6 38:23 44
3 Granville 26 12 7 7 35:31 43
4 Chambly 26 12 7 7 39:25 38
5 Dinan 26 11 5 10 41:44 38
6 Stade Briochin 26 10 7 9 31:26 37
7 Beauvais 26 10 7 9 38:31 37
8 Aubervilliers 26 11 3 12 30:39 36
9 Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 26 8 10 8 29:31 34
10 Racing Club de France 26 10 4 12 30:35 34
11 Lorient II 26 8 8 10 36:39 32
12 Borgo 26 9 3 14 37:49 30
13 AF Virois 26 8 3 15 35:43 27
14 Guingamp II 26 6 2 18 28:50 20
Promotion - National 2024/2025 (Main)