Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Boulogne vs Red Star

France France

Ligue 2 2025/2026 Stade de la Libération, Boulogne-sur-Mer
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Thiam D.
9' Event
Haag G.
11' Event
Capuano G.
Assist: Platret A.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 2 2025/2026 game between Boulogne and Red Star finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Red Star.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Boulogne
35%
Draws
46%
Red Star
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Red Star

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Boulogne haven't matched Red Star's recent run of results.
  • 46% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Boulogne Clean Sheet 22%
Red Star Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Boulogne Red Star
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 13
Draws 12 7
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 0.77 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 Ligue 2
Boulogne vs Red Star
1:1
Jan 24, 2026 Ligue 2
Red Star vs Boulogne
2:2
Sep 29, 2025 Ligue 2
Boulogne vs Red Star
1:2
Jan 28, 2022 Ligue 3
Boulogne vs Red Star
0:4
Aug 13, 2021 Ligue 3
Red Star vs Boulogne
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Boulogne Compare

Top Goalscorer Capuano G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Red Star Compare

Top Goalscorer Haag G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Durivaux D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Boulogne 37 / 100
Red Star 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Boulogne Red Star

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Red Star Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Red Star's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Boulogne has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Boulogne scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Boulogne VS Red Star
0.5 Goals Scored 1.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
38% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Boulogne

(Home)
19 Sept
Boulogne
1 : 2
Nantes
11 Sept
Clermont
0 : 0
Boulogne
04 Sept
Boulogne
1 : 1
Dijon
28 Aug
Montpellier
0 : 0
Boulogne
21 Aug
Boulogne
1 : 1
Red Star
Page 1 of 6

Red Star

(Away)
19 Sept
Guingamp
1 : 3
Red Star
14 Sept
Red Star
1 : 0
Metz
04 Sept
Laval
1 : 2
Red Star
29 Aug
Red Star
1 : 4
Reims
21 Aug
Boulogne
1 : 1
Red Star
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Troyes 34 20 7 7 60:33 67
2 Le Mans 34 16 14 4 50:31 62
3 St Etienne 34 18 6 10 59:38 60
4 Red Star 34 16 10 8 45:37 58
5 Rodez 34 15 13 6 45:39 58
6 Reims 34 14 14 6 53:35 56
7 Annecy 34 15 7 12 49:39 52
8 Montpellier 34 14 9 11 41:31 51
9 Pau 34 12 9 13 48:62 45
10 Dunkerque 34 11 10 13 53:45 43
11 Guingamp 34 10 10 14 42:49 40
12 Grenoble 34 8 15 11 33:39 39
13 Clermont 34 9 10 15 38:44 37
14 Nancy 34 9 10 15 35:52 37
15 Boulogne 34 9 9 16 34:49 36
16 Laval 34 6 14 14 30:48 32
17 Bastia 34 5 13 16 23:39 28
18 Amiens SC 34 6 6 22 37:65 24
19 AC Ajaccio 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 (Main)