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Boulogne vs Red Star - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 2 Stade de la Libération, Boulogne-sur-Mer
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Durand D.
Assist: Cabral K.
17'
Bultel J.
23'
Thiam D.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 2 game between Boulogne and Red Star finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Boulogne
20%
Draws
56%
Red Star
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Red Star

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Red Star come out ahead of Boulogne on wins alone.
  • Red Star are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Ligue 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Boulogne Clean Sheet 16%
Red Star Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Boulogne Red Star
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 5 13
Draws 12 6
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 0.75 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 Ligue 2
Boulogne vs Red Star
1:1
Jan 24, 2026 Ligue 2
Red Star vs Boulogne
2:2
Sep 29, 2025 Ligue 2
Boulogne vs Red Star
1:2
Jan 28, 2022 Ligue 3
Boulogne vs Red Star
0:4
Aug 13, 2021 Ligue 3
Red Star vs Boulogne
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Boulogne Compare

Top Goalscorer Hbouch A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Red Star Compare

Top Goalscorer Durand D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Boulogne 15 / 100
Red Star 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Boulogne Red Star

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Red Star Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Red Star conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Boulogne went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Boulogne scored in 54% of their last 28 games.

Scoring Trends

Boulogne VS Red Star
0.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Boulogne

(Home)
16 Oct
Grenoble
0 : 2
Boulogne
09 Oct
Sochaux
1 : 1
Boulogne
02 Oct
Le Havre
6 : 1
Boulogne
19 Sept
Boulogne
1 : 2
Nantes
11 Sept
Clermont
0 : 0
Boulogne
Page 1 of 6

Red Star

(Away)
17 Oct
Red Star
0 : 1
St Etienne
10 Oct
Clermont
2 : 3
Red Star
19 Sept
Guingamp
1 : 3
Red Star
14 Sept
Red Star
1 : 0
Metz
04 Sept
Laval
1 : 2
Red Star
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St Etienne 9 7 1 1 22:8 22
2 Montpellier 9 5 3 1 11:5 18
3 Reims 9 4 5 0 19:11 17
4 Red Star 9 5 2 2 12:10 17
5 Nancy 9 5 1 3 11:8 16
6 Pau 9 4 2 3 11:9 14
7 Metz 9 3 4 2 15:13 13
8 Annecy 9 4 1 4 11:11 13
9 Dijon 9 3 3 3 16:16 12
10 Dunkerque 9 3 2 4 13:15 11
11 Sochaux 9 2 5 2 7:9 11
12 Boulogne 9 1 6 2 6:6 9
13 Guingamp 9 2 2 5 11:15 8
14 Nantes 9 2 2 5 11:16 8
15 Grenoble 9 2 2 5 8:15 8
16 Clermont 9 0 7 2 9:12 7
17 Rodez 9 2 1 6 14:21 7
18 Laval 9 1 3 5 13:20 6
Promotion - Ligue 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)