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Boulogne vs Red Star

France France

Ligue 2 Stade de la Libération, Boulogne-sur-Mer
Fri, Aug 21, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Boulogne host Red Star in the Ligue 2. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Red Star have shipped 1.33 goals a game lately, while Boulogne have conceded 1.22 and scored 0.85. Head-to-head, Boulogne have won 1 to Red Star's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Jan 24, 2026, ending 2:2. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 1.25) point toward Red Star. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Boulogne
20%
Draws
51%
Red Star
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Red Star

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Red Star come out ahead of Boulogne on wins alone.
  • Boulogne are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Ligue 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Boulogne Clean Sheet 19%
Red Star Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Boulogne Red Star
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 7 11
Draws 9 6
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 0.85 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.22 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2026 Ligue 2
Red Star vs Boulogne
2:2
Sep 29, 2025 Ligue 2
Boulogne vs Red Star
1:2
Jan 28, 2022 Ligue 3
Boulogne vs Red Star
0:4
Aug 13, 2021 Ligue 3
Red Star vs Boulogne
1:3
Jan 15, 2021 Ligue 3
Red Star vs Boulogne
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Boulogne 36 / 100
Red Star 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Boulogne Red Star

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Red Star's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 27 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Boulogne went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Boulogne scored in 59% of their last 27 games.

Scoring Trends

Boulogne VS Red Star
0.63 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
38% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Boulogne

(Home)
08 Aug
Boulogne
0 : 0
Nancy
31 Jul
Valenciennes
1 : 1
Boulogne
25 Jul
Boulogne
0 : 1
Rouen
24 Jul
Amiens SC
0 : 1
Boulogne
18 Jul
Lens
4 : 1
Boulogne
Page 1 of 6

Red Star

(Away)
08 Aug
Nantes
0 : 1
Red Star
31 Jul
Amiens SC
3 : 1
Red Star
28 Jul
UNFP
1 : 4
Red Star
25 Jul
Le Havre
2 : 1
Red Star
21 Jul
Red Star
3 : 2
Orleans
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St Etienne 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
2 Dunkerque 1 1 0 0 4:2 3
3 Rodez 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
4 Metz 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
5 Annecy 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
6 Red Star 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
7 Dijon 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
8 Montpellier 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
9 Nancy 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
10 Boulogne 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
11 Clermont 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
12 Reims 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
13 Guingamp 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
14 Nantes 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
15 Pau 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
16 Grenoble 1 0 0 1 2:4 0
17 Laval 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
18 Sochaux 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)