Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Boulogne vs Rodez

France France

Ligue 2 2025/2026 Stade de la Libération, Boulogne-sur-Mer
Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Binet N.
16' Event
Arconte T.
Assist: Younoussa W.
35'
Jolibois C.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 2 2025/2026 game between Boulogne and Rodez finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rodez.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Boulogne
35%
Draws
37%
Rodez
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Rodez

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Boulogne haven't matched Rodez's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Ligue 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Rodez have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Boulogne Clean Sheet 17%
Rodez Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Boulogne Rodez
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 5 17
Draws 11 6
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 0.75 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 6, 2026 Ligue 2
Boulogne vs Rodez
1:2
Aug 29, 2025 Ligue 2
Rodez vs Boulogne
1:0
Apr 11, 2019 Ligue 3
Rodez vs Boulogne
3:1
Nov 22, 2018 Ligue 3
Boulogne vs Rodez
0:3
Mar 16, 2018 Ligue 3
Boulogne vs Rodez
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Boulogne Compare

Top Goalscorer Gourville S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Rodez Compare

Top Goalscorer Arconte T.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Boulogne 36 / 100
Rodez 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Boulogne Rodez

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rodez Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rodez let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Boulogne remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Rodez registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Boulogne VS Rodez
0.5 Goals Scored 2
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.5
50% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Boulogne

(Home)
02 Oct
Le Havre
6 : 1
Boulogne
19 Sept
Boulogne
1 : 2
Nantes
11 Sept
Clermont
0 : 0
Boulogne
04 Sept
Boulogne
1 : 1
Dijon
28 Aug
Montpellier
0 : 0
Boulogne
Page 1 of 6

Rodez

(Away)
03 Oct
Rodez
2 : 0
Inter Escaldes
18 Sept
Rodez
3 : 4
Nancy
11 Sept
Rodez
0 : 1
Grenoble
05 Sept
Metz
4 : 1
Rodez
28 Aug
Rodez
2 : 2
Pau
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Troyes 34 20 7 7 60:33 67
2 Le Mans 34 16 14 4 50:31 62
3 St Etienne 34 18 6 10 59:38 60
4 Red Star 34 16 10 8 45:37 58
5 Rodez 34 15 13 6 45:39 58
6 Reims 34 14 14 6 53:35 56
7 Annecy 34 15 7 12 49:39 52
8 Montpellier 34 14 9 11 41:31 51
9 Pau 34 12 9 13 48:62 45
10 Dunkerque 34 11 10 13 53:45 43
11 Guingamp 34 10 10 14 42:49 40
12 Grenoble 34 8 15 11 33:39 39
13 Clermont 34 9 10 15 38:44 37
14 Nancy 34 9 10 15 35:52 37
15 Boulogne 34 9 9 16 34:49 36
16 Laval 34 6 14 14 30:48 32
17 Bastia 34 5 13 16 23:39 28
18 Amiens SC 34 6 6 22 37:65 24
19 AC Ajaccio 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 (Main)