Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bourg Peronnas vs Rouen

France France

National 2025/2026 Stade Marcel-Verchere, Bourg-en-Bresse
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Ba-Sy A.
Assist: Mendy F.
60'
Sub
Logbo A. In: Banzouzi D.
Out: Logbo A.
65' Event
Meyer J.
Assist: Besic B.

AI Match Summary

The National 2025/2026 game between Bourg Peronnas and Rouen finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bourg Peronnas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Bourg Peronnas
15%
Draws
69%
Rouen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rouen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rouen come out ahead of Bourg Peronnas on wins alone.
  • Rouen are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular National 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Rouen have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Bourg Peronnas Clean Sheet 23%
Rouen Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bourg Peronnas Rouen
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 11
Draws 4 12
Losses 15 6
Goals Scored 0.86 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.52 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2026 Ligue 3
Bourg Peronnas vs Rouen
3:1
Sep 26, 2025 Ligue 3
Rouen vs Bourg Peronnas
1:0
Apr 12, 2025 Ligue 3
Rouen vs Bourg Peronnas
2:1
Nov 22, 2024 Ligue 3
Bourg Peronnas vs Rouen
0:1
Feb 9, 2013 Ligue 3
Rouen vs Bourg Peronnas
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bourg Peronnas Compare

Top Goalscorer Meyer J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Besic B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Rouen Compare

Top Goalscorer Ba-Sy A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bourg Peronnas 10 / 100
Rouen 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bourg Peronnas Rouen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rouen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rouen has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Bourg Peronnas's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Bourg Peronnas stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bourg Peronnas VS Rouen
0.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bourg Peronnas

(Home)
29 Aug
Aubagne FC
2 : 0
Bourg Peronnas
20 Aug
Bourg Peronnas
0 : 2
Thionville
14 Aug
Valenciennes
2 : 0
Bourg Peronnas
07 Aug
Bourg Peronnas
3 : 2
Villefranche
22 Jul
Bourg Peronnas
1 : 2
Dijon
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Rouen

(Away)
29 Aug
Villefranche
0 : 2
Rouen
20 Aug
Rouen
3 : 0
Quevilly
14 Aug
Orleans
1 : 2
Rouen
07 Aug
Rouen
0 : 0
Cannes
28 Jul
Rouen
1 : 0
Al Wakra
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dijon 32 18 11 3 52:25 65
2 Sochaux 32 16 10 6 51:26 58
3 Rouen 32 14 13 5 43:29 55
4 Fleury-Merogis 32 15 9 8 47:30 54
5 Versailles 32 15 8 9 46:34 53
6 Orleans 32 14 9 9 42:42 51
7 Le Puy-en-Velay 32 12 11 9 45:38 47
8 Caen 32 8 16 8 39:34 40
9 Concarneau 32 8 14 10 32:37 38
10 Valenciennes 32 10 8 14 35:44 37
11 Aubagne FC 32 9 10 13 38:46 37
12 Villefranche 32 10 7 15 34:45 37
13 Quevilly 32 8 9 15 34:45 33
14 Paris 13 Atletico 32 7 11 14 26:41 32
15 Bourg Peronnas 32 8 7 17 25:44 31
16 Chateauroux 32 6 13 13 35:49 30
17 Stade Briochin 32 5 12 15 35:50 27
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)