Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bourg Peronnas vs Stade Briochin

France France

National 2025/2026 Stade Marcel-Verchere, Bourg-en-Bresse
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Diaby Malick A.
12' Event
Faty M.
Assist: Achahbar K.
15'
Sub
Lopes M. In: Angoua B.
Out: Lopes M.

AI Match Summary

The National 2025/2026 game between Bourg Peronnas and Stade Briochin finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Bourg Peronnas
35%
Draws
58%
Stade Briochin
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Stade Briochin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Bourg Peronnas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Stade Briochin are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Bourg Peronnas Clean Sheet 16%
Stade Briochin Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bourg Peronnas Stade Briochin
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 7
Draws 5 13
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 0.77 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Ligue 3
Bourg Peronnas vs Stade Briochin
1:1
Oct 17, 2025 Ligue 3
Stade Briochin vs Bourg Peronnas
1:2
Feb 24, 2023 Ligue 3
Stade Briochin vs Bourg Peronnas
1:1
Sep 16, 2022 Ligue 3
Bourg Peronnas vs Stade Briochin
3:3
Mar 11, 2022 Ligue 3
Stade Briochin vs Bourg Peronnas
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bourg Peronnas Compare

Top Goalscorer Logbo A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Stade Briochin Compare

Top Goalscorer Faty M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bourg Peronnas 10 / 100
Stade Briochin 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bourg Peronnas Stade Briochin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stade Briochin Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stade Briochin has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Bourg Peronnas scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Bourg Peronnas went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bourg Peronnas VS Stade Briochin
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bourg Peronnas

(Home)
19 Sept
Paris 13 Atletico
1 : 1
Bourg Peronnas
12 Sept
Bourg Peronnas
0 : 1
Bastia
05 Sept
Bourg Peronnas
0 : 2
Caen
29 Aug
Aubagne FC
2 : 0
Bourg Peronnas
20 Aug
Bourg Peronnas
0 : 2
Thionville
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Stade Briochin

(Away)
19 Sept
Saumur Olympique
1 : 4
Stade Briochin
11 Sept
Stade Briochin
2 : 2
Granville
04 Sept
Saint-Malo
0 : 0
Stade Briochin
28 Aug
Stade Briochin
0 : 0
St. Colomban Locmine
22 Aug
Stade Briochin
1 : 0
Le Poire Sur Vie
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dijon 32 18 11 3 52:25 65
2 Sochaux 32 16 10 6 51:26 58
3 Rouen 32 14 13 5 43:29 55
4 Fleury-Merogis 32 15 9 8 47:30 54
5 Versailles 32 15 8 9 46:34 53
6 Orleans 32 14 9 9 42:42 51
7 Le Puy-en-Velay 32 12 11 9 45:38 47
8 Caen 32 8 16 8 39:34 40
9 Concarneau 32 8 14 10 32:37 38
10 Valenciennes 32 10 8 14 35:44 37
11 Aubagne FC 32 9 10 13 38:46 37
12 Villefranche 32 10 7 15 34:45 37
13 Quevilly 32 8 9 15 34:45 33
14 Paris 13 Atletico 32 7 11 14 26:41 32
15 Bourg Peronnas 32 8 7 17 25:44 31
16 Chateauroux 32 6 13 13 35:49 30
17 Stade Briochin 32 5 12 15 35:50 27
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)