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Bourges 18 vs Frejus Saint Raphael - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

National 1 - Group C
Our Tip

Match Events

55' Event

AI Match Summary

Frejus Saint Raphael in this National 1 - Group C matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Frejus Saint Raphael.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Bourges 18
35%
Draws
39%
Frejus Saint Raphael
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Frejus Saint Raphael

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Frejus Saint Raphael haven't matched Bourges 18's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Bourges 18's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular National 1 - Group C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 28%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Bourges 18 Clean Sheet 20%
Frejus Saint Raphael Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bourges 18 Frejus Saint Raphael
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 9
Draws 15 7
Losses 5 14
Goals Scored 0.83 1.23
Goals Conceded 0.6 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 National 1 - Group C
Bourges 18 vs Frejus Saint Raphael
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bourges 18 42 / 100
Frejus Saint Raphael 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bourges 18 Frejus Saint Raphael

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Frejus Saint Raphael's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Bourges 18 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Frejus Saint Raphael has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Bourges 18's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Bourges 18 VS Frejus Saint Raphael
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bourges 18

(Home)
03 Oct
Bourges 18
0 : 1
Frejus Saint Raphael
19 Sept
Canet Roussillon
0 : 0
Bourges 18
05 Sept
Bourges 18
0 : 0
GOAL FC
29 Aug
Toulon
0 : 0
Bourges 18
22 Aug
Bourges 18
1 : 1
Andrezieux
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Frejus Saint Raphael

(Away)
03 Oct
Bourges 18
0 : 1
Frejus Saint Raphael
19 Sept
Frejus Saint Raphael
2 : 4
GOAL FC
12 Sept
Toulon
3 : 1
Frejus Saint Raphael
05 Sept
Frejus Saint Raphael
2 : 0
Andrezieux
29 Aug
Nimes
3 : 0
Frejus Saint Raphael
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nimes 6 5 1 0 15:3 16
2 Hyeres 6 3 3 0 11:4 12
3 Toulon 6 3 2 1 9:5 11
4 GOAL FC 5 2 3 0 9:5 9
5 Touraine 5 2 3 0 5:3 9
6 Hauts Lyonnais 6 2 3 1 7:7 9
7 Rumilly Vallieres 6 3 0 3 15:8 9
8 Frejus Saint Raphael 6 3 0 3 9:10 9
9 Andrezieux 6 2 2 2 9:8 8
10 Troyes II 6 2 1 3 6:11 7
11 Saint Priest 6 1 3 2 7:11 6
12 Limonest 5 1 2 2 5:8 5
13 Bourges 18 5 0 4 1 1:2 4
14 Istres 6 0 4 2 2:6 4
15 Chateauroux 5 0 3 2 1:3 3
16 Lyon - La Duchere 6 1 0 5 6:16 3
17 Canet Roussillon 5 0 2 3 3:10 2
Promotion - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)