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Bourges 18 W vs Metz W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Coupe de la Ligue Women
Wed, Dec 9, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Coupe de la Ligue Women. Metz W go into this one as the clear favorite. Bourges 18 W have averaged 0.56 scored and 2.11 conceded recently, against Metz W's 1.4 scored and 2.1 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (1.69 xG vs 1.81) point toward Metz W. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Bourges 18 W
20%
Draws
64%
Metz W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Metz W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Metz W have won more games recently than Bourges 18 W.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Metz W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Bourges 18 W Clean Sheet 11%
Metz W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bourges 18 W Metz W
Matches Played 9 30
Wins 0 8
Draws 1 4
Losses 8 18
Goals Scored 0.56 1.4
Goals Conceded 2.11 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bourges 18 W 30 / 100
Metz W 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bourges 18 W Metz W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Metz W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Metz W conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Metz W's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Bourges 18 W's goal record stands at 44% scoring rate across 9 recent games.

Recent resilience: Bourges 18 W stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bourges 18 W VS Metz W
0.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Bourges 18 W

(Home)
21 Oct
Thonon Evian W
2 : 1
Bourges 18 W
04 Oct
Nice W
1 : 0
Bourges 18 W
20 Sept
Bourges 18 W
0 : 3
St Etienne W
13 Sept
Lille W
2 : 2
Bourges 18 W
06 Sept
Bourges 18 W
1 : 2
Le Mans W
Page 1 of 2

Metz W

(Away)
17 Oct
St Etienne W
2 : 0
Metz W
04 Oct
Metz W
1 : 2
Le Mans W
26 Sept
Metz W
1 : 2
Le Havre W
19 Sept
Thonon Evian W
1 : 2
Metz W
13 Sept
Metz W
1 : 1
Roubaix W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marseille W 3 3 0 0 12:1 9
2 Strasbourg W 3 3 0 0 8:5 9
3 Auxerre W 3 3 0 0 9:3 8
4 Lens W 4 2 0 2 6:5 7
5 Thonon Evian W 4 3 0 1 7:11 7
6 Fleury 91 W 2 2 0 0 6:1 6
7 Le Mans W 3 2 0 1 5:1 6
8 St Etienne W 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
9 Le Havre W 3 2 0 1 5:5 6
10 Roubaix W 3 2 0 1 4:4 6
11 Saint-Malo W 3 2 0 1 4:2 5
12 Nantes W 3 1 0 2 3:3 4
13 Montpellier W 3 1 0 2 4:6 3
14 Cannes W 3 1 0 2 4:7 3
15 Grenoble W 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
16 Lille W 4 0 0 4 5:8 2
17 Nice W 3 1 0 2 4:9 2
18 Bourges 18 W 3 0 0 3 2:5 1
19 Toulouse W 3 0 0 3 1:6 0
20 Metz W 3 0 0 3 3:9 0
Promotion - Coupe de la Ligue Women (Play Offs)