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Stadium Background

Bourgoin Jallieu vs Olympique de Valence

France France

Coupe de France 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bourgoin Jallieu play Olympique de Valence in the Coupe de France 2024/2025. Bourgoin Jallieu are favorites here. Recently, Bourgoin Jallieu averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.53 conceded. Olympique de Valence averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. In past meetings, Bourgoin Jallieu won 1, Olympique de Valence won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 30, 2024 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Bourgoin Jallieu and 1.06 for Olympique de Valence. This points to a Bourgoin Jallieu double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Bourgoin Jallieu
21%
Draws
15%
Olympique de Valence
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Bourgoin Jallieu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Bourgoin Jallieu picked up more points recently compared to Olympique de Valence.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%
Bourgoin Jallieu Clean Sheet 22%
Olympique de Valence Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bourgoin Jallieu Olympique de Valence
Matches Played 30 5
Wins 8 2
Draws 7 0
Losses 15 3
Goals Scored 1.2 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 30, 2024 Coupe de France
Bourgoin Jallieu vs Olympique de Valence
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bourgoin Jallieu Compare

Top Goalscorer Mecheri Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ezzaytouni A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Olympique de Valence Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bourgoin Jallieu 62 / 100
Olympique de Valence 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bourgoin Jallieu Olympique de Valence

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bourgoin Jallieu Win (1)
Secondary Pick Bourgoin Jallieu & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +14.6%
1.79
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.9%
2.13
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Bourgoin Jallieu attacking → ← attacking Olympique de Valence

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bourgoin Jallieu scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Olympique de Valence let in goals in 80% of their last 5 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Bourgoin Jallieu went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Olympique de Valence lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

31 Points in last 5 6
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.50
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50