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Bourj vs Racing Prediction & H2H Stats

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League 2025/2026
Bourj Logo

Bourj

2 - 1
FT
Racing Logo

Racing

Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Al Shoum Q.
Assist: Diaw A.
50' Event
Diaw A.
Assist: Fall A.
76' Event
Moussawi A. I.
Assist: Simon D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Bourj in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bourj.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Bourj
15%
Draws
0%
Racing
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bourj

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Bourj have won more games recently than Racing.
  • Win probability leans Bourj's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Bourj Clean Sheet 68%
Racing Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bourj Racing
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 15 1
Draws 4 2
Losses 11 29
Goals Scored 1.1 0.38
Goals Conceded 1.23 2.66
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 12, 2025 Premier League
Bourj vs Racing
2:1
Jul 5, 2025 Premier League
Bourj vs Racing
2:1
Jun 7, 2025 Premier League
Bourj vs Racing
0:3
May 8, 2025 Premier League
Racing vs Bourj
1:1
Feb 26, 2025 Premier League
Racing vs Bourj
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bourj Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Shoum Q.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Diaw A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Racing Compare

Top Goalscorer Moussawi A. I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bourj 95 / 100
Racing 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bourj Racing

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bourj Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Racing's defensive record shows goals conceded in 94% of 32 matches.

Racing's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Bourj scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Bourj VS Racing
1.25 Goals Scored 0.38
2.25 Goals Conceded 3.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Bourj

(Home)
30 Dec
Al Ansar
4 : 1
Bourj
25 Dec
Bourj
1 : 4
Al Ahed
19 Dec
Bourj
1 : 0
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
12 Dec
Bourj
2 : 1
Racing
06 Dec
Al Sahel
1 : 0
Bourj
Page 1 of 6

Racing

(Away)
25 Jul
Racing
1 : 2
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
21 Jul
Tadamon
1 : 0
Racing
13 Jul
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
4 : 0
Racing
10 Jul
Racing
1 : 3
Tadamon
02 Jul
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
2 : 0
Racing
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ansar 21 17 2 2 53:9 53
2 Nejmeh SC 21 14 4 3 42:10 46
3 Al Ahed 21 13 1 7 34:22 40
4 Jwayya SC 21 11 5 5 31:14 38
5 Safa 21 11 3 7 30:17 36
6 Al Hikma 21 9 3 9 29:27 30
7 Al Sahel 21 7 6 8 22:21 27
8 Al Mabarrah 21 5 7 9 12:36 22
9 Al Riyadi Abbasiyah 21 5 5 11 16:30 20
10 Tadamon 21 3 8 10 12:26 17
11 Racing 21 0 1 20 4:61 1
12 Bourj 11 3 1 7 8:20 10
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Main)
Relegation - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)