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Bournemouth U21 vs Cardiff U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Premier League Cup
Mon, Nov 2, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 4-1. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Bournemouth U21 have averaged 2.52 scored and 1.91 conceded recently, against Cardiff U21's 1.82 scored and 1.55 conceded. Past meetings favor Bournemouth U21 slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 14, 2026, ending 4:1. xG projections (1.88 - 2.19) back Bournemouth U21 to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Bournemouth U21
30%
Draws
37%
Cardiff U21
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cardiff U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bournemouth U21 lately — more wins on the board than Cardiff U21.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Bournemouth U21 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Bournemouth U21, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Bournemouth U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Cardiff U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bournemouth U21 Cardiff U21
Matches Played 33 33
Wins 17 13
Draws 6 9
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 2.52 1.82
Goals Conceded 1.91 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 Premier League Cup
Cardiff U21 vs Bournemouth U21
4:1
Feb 2, 2026 Professional Development League
Bournemouth U21 vs Cardiff U21
2:2
Oct 28, 2025 Professional Development League
Cardiff U21 vs Bournemouth U21
1:2
Mar 11, 2025 Professional Development League
Bournemouth U21 vs Cardiff U21
4:0
Dec 3, 2024 Professional Development League
Cardiff U21 vs Bournemouth U21
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bournemouth U21 30 / 100
Cardiff U21 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bournemouth U21 Cardiff U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Bournemouth U21 scored in 97% of their last 33 outings.

Defensive concern: Cardiff U21 conceded in 82% of 33 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Bournemouth U21 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bournemouth U21 VS Cardiff U21
2.38 Goals Scored 2.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Bournemouth U21

(Home)
26 Oct
Bournemouth U21
3 : 4
Brentford U21
18 Oct
Brighton U21
3 : 3
Bournemouth U21
12 Oct
Bournemouth U21
6 : 1
Plymouth U21
21 Sept
Bournemouth U21
2 : 1
Stoke City U21
12 Sept
Southampton U21
3 : 1
Bournemouth U21
Page 1 of 7

Cardiff U21

(Away)
23 Oct
Charlton U21
3 : 4
Cardiff U21
13 Oct
QPR U21
1 : 1
Cardiff U21
09 Oct
Cardiff U21
1 : 3
Leicester U21
18 Sept
Cardiff U21
6 : 0
Peterborough U21
14 Sept
Sheffield Utd U21
1 : 1
Cardiff U21
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Southampton U21 3 2 1 0 10:2 7
2 Blackburn U21 3 1 1 1 7:9 4
3 QPR U21 3 1 0 2 7:10 3
4 Bolton U21 3 0 2 1 5:8 2
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bournemouth U21 3 2 0 1 8:5 6
2 Leicester U21 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
3 Cardiff U21 3 2 0 1 8:6 6
4 Plymouth U21 3 0 0 3 4:12 0
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Huddersfield U21 3 2 1 0 10:5 7
2 Swansea U21 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
3 Birmingham U21 3 1 0 2 6:7 3
4 Gillingham U21 2 0 0 2 1:8 0
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nottingham U21 2 2 0 0 7:1 6
2 Newcastle Utd U21 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
3 Peterborough U21 2 1 0 1 5:5 3
4 Luton U21 3 0 0 3 1:10 0
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wolves U21 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
2 Preston U21 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
3 Burnley U21 3 1 1 1 4:5 4
4 Fleetwood Town U21 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brighton U21 3 2 1 0 5:2 7
2 Sheffield Utd U21 2 1 0 1 4:3 3
3 Millwall U21 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
4 West Ham U21 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bristol City U21 4 2 1 1 10:7 7
2 Norwich U21 3 2 1 0 7:4 7
3 Exeter U21 2 1 0 1 6:6 3
4 Reading U21 3 0 0 3 3:9 0
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coventry U21 3 2 0 1 6:6 6
2 Ipswich U21 3 1 1 1 8:8 4
3 West Brom U21 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
4 Bromley U21 3 1 0 2 6:6 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Charlton U21 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
2 Leeds U21 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
3 Stockport U21 3 1 0 2 6:5 3
4 Stoke City U21 3 0 2 1 2:6 2
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brentford U21 3 2 1 0 7:3 7
2 Hull City U21 3 1 2 0 5:2 5
3 Wycombe U21 2 0 1 1 0:2 1
4 Derby U21 2 0 0 2 3:8 0
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams