Sport Picks
Bournemouth U21 vs Chelsea U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
Premier League 2 The Wyatt Homes Stadium, Dorset 
Match Events
38'
38'
Watson R.
(Penalty)
42'
42'
Ali A.
45'
45'
Day J.
Assist: Dacosta M.
AI Match Summary
The Premier League 2 game between Bournemouth U21 and Chelsea U21 finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bournemouth U21.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bournemouth U21
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Bournemouth U21 come out ahead of Chelsea U21 on wins alone.
- Model gives Bournemouth U21 a 42% chance of winning this.
- Regular Premier League 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).
- These two have met 3 times recently and Chelsea U21 have taken 2 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Bournemouth U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Chelsea U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bournemouth U21 | Chelsea U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 17 | 16 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 9 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 2.5 | 2.29 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.8 | 1.61 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 21, 2026 Premier League 2
Bournemouth U21 vs Chelsea U21
2:1
Dec 21, 2024 Premier League Cup
Chelsea U21 vs Bournemouth U21
2:1
Oct 21, 2024 Premier League Cup
Bournemouth U21 vs Chelsea U21
1:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bournemouth U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Day J.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Chelsea U21 Compare
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bournemouth U21 40 / 100
Chelsea U21 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bournemouth U21 Chelsea U21
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Bournemouth U21 scored in 97% of their last 30 games.
Historical meetings average 3.67 goals per match.
Chelsea U21 let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.
Recent resilience: Bournemouth U21 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Bournemouth U21 VS Chelsea U21
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Bournemouth U21
(Home) 12 Oct
Bournemouth U21
6 : 1 Plymouth U21
21 Sept
Bournemouth U21
2 : 1 Stoke City U21
12 Sept
Southampton U21
3 : 1 Bournemouth U21
04 Sept
Leicester U21
0 : 1 Bournemouth U21
31 Aug
Bournemouth U21
3 : 1 Middlesbrough U21
Page 1 of 6
12 Oct
Bournemouth U21
6 : 1 Plymouth U21
21 Sept
Bournemouth U21
2 : 1 Stoke City U21
31 Aug
Bournemouth U21
3 : 1 Middlesbrough U21
21 Aug
Bournemouth U21
2 : 1 Chelsea U21
10 Jul
Bournemouth U21
2 : 2 Worthing FC
Page 1 of 4
Chelsea U21
(Away) 13 Oct
Reading
0 : 2 Chelsea U21
19 Sept
Chelsea U21
3 : 1 Fulham U21
15 Sept
Wycombe
2 : 1 Chelsea U21
12 Sept
Arsenal U21
1 : 4 Chelsea U21
31 Aug
Chelsea U21
5 : 4 West Ham U21
Page 1 of 6
13 Oct
Reading
0 : 2 Chelsea U21
15 Sept
Wycombe
2 : 1 Chelsea U21
12 Sept
Arsenal U21
1 : 4 Chelsea U21
25 Aug
Bristol Rovers
2 : 3 Chelsea U21
21 Aug
Bournemouth U21
2 : 1 Chelsea U21
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tottenham U21 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13:7 | 10 |
| 2 | Southampton U21 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | 10 |
| 3 | Sunderland U21 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 15:11 | 10 |
| 4 | Manchester United U21 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:3 | 9 |
| 5 | Chelsea U21 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13:8 | 9 |
| 6 | Bournemouth U21 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:6 | 9 |
| 7 | Nottingham U21 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:7 | 9 |
| 8 | Liverpool U21 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:4 | 7 |
| 9 | Fulham U21 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12:9 | 7 |
| 10 | Leeds U21 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11:9 | 7 |
| 11 | Reading U21 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:6 | 7 |
| 12 | Norwich U21 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 7 |
| 13 | Brentford U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10:8 | 6 |
| 14 | Everton U21 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:3 | 5 |
| 15 | West Ham U21 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:5 | 5 |
| 16 | Aston Villa U21 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7:8 | 5 |
| 17 | Stoke City U21 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:5 | 4 |
| 18 | Crystal Palace U21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 4 |
| 19 | Brighton U21 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:9 | 4 |
| 20 | Derby U21 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9:12 | 4 |
| 21 | Arsenal U21 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6:9 | 4 |
| 22 | Manchester City U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 3 |
| 23 | Burnley U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8:9 | 3 |
| 24 | Blackburn U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 25 | Ipswich U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:10 | 3 |
| 26 | Birmingham U21 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5:7 | 2 |
| 27 | Middlesbrough U21 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7:10 | 2 |
| 28 | West Brom U21 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8:11 | 1 |
| 29 | Leicester U21 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:7 | 1 |
| 30 | Newcastle Utd U21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:9 | 0 |
| 31 | Wolves U21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:10 | 0 |
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