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Bournemouth U21 vs Stoke City U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Premier League 2 The Wyatt Homes Stadium, Dorset
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
William H.
19'
Nyarko E.
21' Event
Ndimukum D.
Assist: Sills E.

AI Match Summary

Bournemouth U21 in this Premier League 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bournemouth U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
Bournemouth U21
15%
Draws
17%
Stoke City U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bournemouth U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bournemouth U21 lately — more wins on the board than Stoke City U21.
  • 68% — that's where the model lands on Bournemouth U21 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 53%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Bournemouth U21 Clean Sheet 20%
Stoke City U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bournemouth U21 Stoke City U21
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 16 6
Draws 4 5
Losses 9 19
Goals Scored 2.38 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.83 2.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.96 0.96
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2026 Premier League 2
Bournemouth U21 vs Stoke City U21
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bournemouth U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer William H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ndimukum D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.51
Avg xA / game 0.98

Stoke City U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ampah A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.53

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bournemouth U21 85 / 100
Stoke City U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bournemouth U21 Stoke City U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bournemouth U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bournemouth U21's goal record stands at 97% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Stoke City U21 let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Bournemouth U21 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bournemouth U21 VS Stoke City U21
1.43 Goals Scored 0.5
1.43 Goals Conceded 2.5
71% Over 1.5 63%
71% Over 2.5 63%
43% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Bournemouth U21

(Home)
21 Sept
Bournemouth U21
2 : 1
Stoke City U21
12 Sept
Southampton U21
3 : 1
Bournemouth U21
04 Sept
Leicester U21
0 : 1
Bournemouth U21
31 Aug
Bournemouth U21
3 : 1
Middlesbrough U21
21 Aug
Bournemouth U21
2 : 1
Chelsea U21
Page 1 of 6

Stoke City U21

(Away)
21 Sept
Bournemouth U21
2 : 1
Stoke City U21
16 Sept
Stoke City U21
0 : 2
B. Monchengladbach II
11 Sept
Stoke City U21
4 : 0
Wolves U21
08 Sept
Wealdstone
6 : 0
Stoke City U21
04 Sept
Stockport U21
4 : 0
Stoke City U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tottenham U21 4 3 1 0 13:7 10
2 Southampton U21 4 3 1 0 7:2 10
3 Manchester United U21 3 3 0 0 12:3 9
4 Chelsea U21 4 3 0 1 13:8 9
5 Sunderland U21 4 3 0 1 13:9 9
6 Bournemouth U21 4 3 0 1 8:6 9
7 Nottingham U21 4 3 0 1 7:7 9
8 Liverpool U21 4 2 1 1 8:4 7
9 Fulham U21 4 2 1 1 12:9 7
10 Leeds U21 4 2 1 1 11:9 7
11 Reading U21 4 2 1 1 7:6 7
12 Norwich U21 4 2 1 1 6:5 7
13 Brentford U21 4 2 0 2 10:8 6
14 Everton U21 4 1 2 1 4:3 5
15 West Ham U21 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
16 Aston Villa U21 4 1 2 1 7:8 5
17 Stoke City U21 4 1 1 2 7:5 4
18 Crystal Palace U21 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
19 Brighton U21 4 1 1 2 7:9 4
20 Derby U21 4 1 1 2 9:12 4
21 Manchester City U21 3 1 0 2 7:6 3
22 Burnley U21 4 1 0 3 8:9 3
23 Arsenal U21 4 0 3 1 4:7 3
24 Blackburn U21 3 1 0 2 4:7 3
25 Ipswich U21 3 1 0 2 6:10 3
26 Birmingham U21 3 0 2 1 5:7 2
27 Middlesbrough U21 4 0 2 2 7:10 2
28 West Brom U21 3 0 1 2 8:11 1
29 Leicester U21 3 0 1 2 1:7 1
30 Newcastle Utd U21 3 0 0 3 1:9 0
31 Wolves U21 3 0 0 3 0:10 0
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