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Bournemouth U21 vs West Brom U21

England England

Premier League Cup 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Mottoh K.
Assist: Nyarko E.
23' Event
Dacosta M.
26' Event
Shaw G.
Assist: Maughan A.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-5, with West Brom U21 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Bournemouth U21
15%
Draws
37%
West Brom U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bournemouth U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bournemouth U21 come out ahead of West Brom U21 on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Bournemouth U21 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor West Brom U21, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Bournemouth U21 Clean Sheet 10%
West Brom U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bournemouth U21 West Brom U21
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 15 13
Draws 5 2
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 2.38 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.86 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 27, 2026 Premier League Cup
Bournemouth U21 vs West Brom U21
4:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bournemouth U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mottoh K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dacosta M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

West Brom U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sule E.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Shaw G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bournemouth U21 29 / 100
West Brom U21 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bournemouth U21 West Brom U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bournemouth U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bournemouth U21 found the back of the net in 97% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 9.00 goals.

Defensive concern: West Brom U21 conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Bournemouth U21 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bournemouth U21 VS West Brom U21
2.38 Goals Scored 1.75
2.25 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bournemouth U21

(Home)
12 Sept
Southampton U21
3 : 1
Bournemouth U21
04 Sept
Leicester U21
0 : 1
Bournemouth U21
31 Aug
Bournemouth U21
3 : 1
Middlesbrough U21
21 Aug
Bournemouth U21
2 : 1
Chelsea U21
14 Aug
Cardiff U21
4 : 1
Bournemouth U21
Page 1 of 6

West Brom U21

(Away)
18 Sept
West Brom U21
1 : 3
Nottingham U21
08 Sept
Boston United
0 : 1
West Brom U21
04 Sept
Coventry U21
0 : 3
West Brom U21
31 Aug
Derby U21
4 : 4
West Brom U21
26 Aug
Bromley U21
3 : 0
West Brom U21
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Nottingham U21 1
Sunderland U21 6
Watford U21 3
Charlton U21 2
Ipswich U21 2
Blackburn U21 3
Reading U21 5
Stoke City U21 0
Burnley U21 3
Brentford U21 2
Colchester U21 1
Swansea U21 0
Sheffield Utd U21 1
Bournemouth U21 2
West Brom U21 1
QPR U21 0
Quarter-finals
Sunderland U21 3
Watford U21 1
Blackburn U21 3
Reading U21 1
Burnley U21 5
Colchester U21 2
Bournemouth U21 4
West Brom U21 5
Semi-finals
Sunderland U21 4
Blackburn U21 2
Burnley U21 2
West Brom U21 1
Final
Sunderland U21 1
Burnley U21 2