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Bournemouth vs AC Milan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

Europa League Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth
Thu, Oct 22, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bournemouth host AC Milan in the Europa League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. AC Milan have shipped 1.18 goals a game lately, while Bournemouth have conceded 1.18 and scored 2. Past meetings favor AC Milan slightly — 0-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 3, 2016, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 1.81) point toward AC Milan. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Bournemouth
30%
Draws
37%
AC Milan
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AC Milan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and AC Milan come out ahead of Bournemouth on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans AC Milan's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Bournemouth Clean Sheet 11%
AC Milan Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bournemouth AC Milan
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 12
Draws 13 7
Losses 4 9
Goals Scored 2 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 3, 2016 Club Friendly
Bournemouth vs AC Milan
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bournemouth 22 / 100
AC Milan 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bournemouth AC Milan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AC Milan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bournemouth's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

AC Milan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Bournemouth went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bournemouth VS AC Milan
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bournemouth

(Home)
15 Oct
Bournemouth
3 : 0
Sturm Graz
10 Oct
Chelsea
5 : 1
Bournemouth
20 Sept
Bournemouth
0 : 1
Liverpool
17 Sept
Real Sociedad
1 : 2
Bournemouth
12 Sept
Bournemouth
2 : 2
Brentford
Page 1 of 6

AC Milan

(Away)
15 Oct
Salzburg
0 : 4
AC Milan
11 Oct
Sassuolo
1 : 1
AC Milan
20 Sept
AC Milan
3 : 0
Lecce
16 Sept
AC Milan
0 : 2
Benfica
12 Sept
Lazio
2 : 2
AC Milan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Juventus 2 2 0 0 7:1 6
2 Bayer Leverkusen 2 2 0 0 6:0 6
3 Benfica 2 2 0 0 6:1 6
4 Besiktas 2 2 0 0 7:3 6
5 Bournemouth 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
6 Omonia 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
7 Ferencvaros 2 2 0 0 5:2 6
8 Lyon 2 2 0 0 5:3 6
9 Sunderland 2 2 0 0 3:1 6
10 Olympiacos Piraeus 2 2 0 0 3:1 6
11 Sparta Prague 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
12 Royale Union SG 2 1 1 0 4:1 4
13 Rennes 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
14 Din. Zagreb 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
15 Crystal Palace 2 1 0 1 6:3 3
16 AC Milan 2 1 0 1 4:2 3
17 Jagiellonia 2 1 0 1 4:3 3
18 OFI Crete 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
19 Torreense 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
20 AZ Alkmaar 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
21 Salzburg 2 1 0 1 1:4 3
22 Real Sociedad 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
23 Lillestrom 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
24 Levski Sofia 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
25 H. Beer Sheva 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
26 Sturm Graz 2 0 1 1 0:3 1
27 Nijmegen 2 0 1 1 1:6 1
28 Celta Vigo 2 0 0 2 1:3 0
29 Anderlecht 2 0 0 2 1:3 0
30 Hoffenheim 2 0 0 2 2:5 0
31 Plzen 2 0 0 2 1:5 0
32 Marseille 2 0 0 2 1:5 0
33 Celtic 2 0 0 2 2:7 0
34 Ararat-Armenia 2 0 0 2 2:7 0
35 Celje 2 0 0 2 0:5 0
36 Lech Poznan 2 0 0 2 0:8 0
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)