Sport Picks
Bournemouth vs Brentford - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
Premier League Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth 
Match Events
34'
34'
Schade K.
Assist: Yarmolyuk Y.
38'
38'
Kluivert J.
45'
45'
Thiago I.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
35%
34%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Bournemouth at 2.04 per game, Brentford at 1.86.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Bournemouth Clean Sheet 10%
Brentford Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bournemouth | Brentford |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 12 |
| Draws | 13 | 11 |
| Losses | 3 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 2.04 | 1.86 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 2.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 Premier League
Bournemouth vs Brentford
2:2
Mar 3, 2026 Premier League
Bournemouth vs Brentford
0:0
Dec 27, 2025 Premier League
Brentford vs Bournemouth
4:1
Aug 26, 2025 EFL Cup
Bournemouth vs Brentford
0:2
Mar 15, 2025 Premier League
Bournemouth vs Brentford
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bournemouth Compare
Top Goalscorer Kluivert J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Tavernier M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Brentford Compare
Top Goalscorer Schade K.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bournemouth 30 / 100
Brentford 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bournemouth Brentford
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Bournemouth scored in 86% of their last 28 games.
Brentford has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Bournemouth stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Bournemouth VS Brentford
1.88 Goals Scored 3.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Bournemouth
(Home) 20 Sept
Bournemouth
0 : 1 Liverpool
17 Sept
Real Sociedad
1 : 2 Bournemouth
12 Sept
Bournemouth
2 : 2 Brentford
08 Sept
Bournemouth
4 : 0 Lincoln City
05 Sept
Newcastle Utd
2 : 2 Bournemouth
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Bournemouth
0 : 1 Liverpool
12 Sept
Bournemouth
2 : 2 Brentford
08 Sept
Bournemouth
4 : 0 Lincoln City
29 Aug
Bournemouth
1 : 1 Everton
04 Aug
Bournemouth
10 : 1 Genoa
Page 1 of 3
Brentford
(Away) 18 Sept
Brentford
3 : 0 Chelsea
15 Sept
Reading
1 : 2 Brentford
12 Sept
Bournemouth
2 : 2 Brentford
05 Sept
Brentford
1 : 1 Sunderland
30 Aug
Leeds
1 : 1 Brentford
Page 1 of 6
15 Sept
Reading
1 : 2 Brentford
12 Sept
Bournemouth
2 : 2 Brentford
30 Aug
Leeds
1 : 1 Brentford
25 Aug
Birmingham
1 : 6 Brentford
08 Aug
Rennes
2 : 4 Brentford
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13:5 | 15 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 12 |
| 3 | Brighton | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16:5 | 10 |
| 4 | Brentford | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10:4 | 9 |
| 5 | Leeds | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7:3 | 9 |
| 6 | Liverpool | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7:4 | 9 |
| 7 | Everton | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6:3 | 9 |
| 8 | Hull City | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | 8 |
| 9 | Newcastle Utd | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9:9 | 8 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:12 | 7 |
| 11 | Ipswich | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7:11 | 6 |
| 12 | Manchester United | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 5 |
| 13 | Nottingham | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | 5 |
| 14 | Sunderland | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:10 | 4 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:11 | 4 |
| 16 | Aston Villa | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:9 | 4 |
| 17 | Bournemouth | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6:8 | 3 |
| 18 | Coventry | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1:10 | 3 |
| 19 | Fulham | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5:8 | 2 |
| 20 | Tottenham | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2:8 | 2 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)
