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Bournemouth vs Everton - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Premier League Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Scott A.
23'
Smith A.
41' Event
Scott A.
Assist: Evanilson

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Bournemouth and Everton finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Bournemouth
15%
Draws
27%
Everton
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bournemouth

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Bournemouth carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Bournemouth are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Bournemouth Clean Sheet 20%
Everton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bournemouth Everton
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 10
Draws 10 9
Losses 4 9
Goals Scored 2.25 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Premier League
Bournemouth vs Everton
1:1
Feb 10, 2026 Premier League
Everton vs Bournemouth
1:2
Dec 2, 2025 Premier League
Bournemouth vs Everton
0:1
Jul 26, 2025 Premier League Summer Series
Everton vs Bournemouth
0:3
Feb 8, 2025 FA Cup
Everton vs Bournemouth
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bournemouth Compare

Top Goalscorer Scott A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Everton Compare

Top Goalscorer Tarkowski J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bournemouth 85 / 100
Everton 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bournemouth Everton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bournemouth Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bournemouth's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Solid form: Bournemouth remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Everton conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Bournemouth VS Everton
2.13 Goals Scored 0.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bournemouth

(Home)
28 Oct
Bournemouth
3 : 0
Aston Villa
25 Oct
Manchester United
0 : 3
Bournemouth
22 Oct
Bournemouth
3 : 0
AC Milan
18 Oct
Bournemouth
2 : 0
Sunderland
15 Oct
Bournemouth
3 : 0
Sturm Graz
Page 1 of 6

Everton

(Away)
24 Oct
Arsenal
2 : 0
Everton
17 Oct
Everton
0 : 2
Chelsea
11 Oct
Hull City
2 : 2
Everton
19 Sept
Everton
1 : 0
Ipswich
16 Sept
Everton
1 : 0
Wolves
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City 8 7 0 1 20:9 21
2 Arsenal 8 7 0 1 13:5 21
3 Brighton 8 5 1 2 23:7 16
4 Liverpool 8 4 3 1 11:8 15
5 Chelsea 8 4 1 3 17:15 13
6 Brentford 8 2 5 1 14:9 11
7 Leeds 8 2 5 1 9:6 11
8 Newcastle Utd 8 3 2 3 12:14 11
9 Aston Villa 8 3 2 3 9:12 11
10 Hull City 8 2 4 2 9:8 10
11 Everton 8 2 4 2 8:9 10
12 Ipswich 8 3 1 4 12:16 10
13 Bournemouth 8 2 3 3 12:13 9
14 Tottenham 8 2 3 3 8:10 9
15 Fulham 8 2 2 4 8:10 8
16 Manchester United 8 1 4 3 10:13 7
17 Crystal Palace 8 2 1 5 9:19 7
18 Nottingham 8 1 3 4 6:10 6
19 Coventry 8 2 0 6 6:15 6
20 Sunderland 8 1 2 5 6:14 5
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)