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Bournemouth W vs Cheltenham W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Women's National League South
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AI Match Summary

The Women's National League South game between Bournemouth W and Cheltenham W finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bournemouth W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Bournemouth W
30%
Draws
12%
Cheltenham W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bournemouth W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Bournemouth W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Bournemouth W a 58% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Bournemouth W have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Bournemouth W Clean Sheet 16%
Cheltenham W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bournemouth W Cheltenham W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 19 8
Draws 4 5
Losses 6 16
Goals Scored 2.86 1.41
Goals Conceded 1 2.31
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Women's National League South
Bournemouth W vs Cheltenham W
2:1
Mar 8, 2026 Women's National League South
Cheltenham W vs Bournemouth W
0:6
Sep 21, 2025 Women's National League South
Bournemouth W vs Cheltenham W
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bournemouth W 84 / 100
Cheltenham W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bournemouth W Cheltenham W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bournemouth W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Bournemouth W scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Cheltenham W let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.67 goals as a typical output.

Bournemouth W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bournemouth W VS Cheltenham W
2.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Bournemouth W

(Home)
04 Oct
Bournemouth W
0 : 1
Oxford Utd W
20 Sept
Exeter W
0 : 1
Bournemouth W
13 Sept
Lewes W
1 : 1
Bournemouth W
30 Aug
Bournemouth W
4 : 1
Hashtag W
23 Aug
Bournemouth W
2 : 1
Cheltenham W
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Cheltenham W

(Away)
04 Oct
Cheltenham W
2 : 2
Hashtag W
20 Sept
Lewes W
3 : 0
Cheltenham W
13 Sept
Cheltenham W
4 : 4
Exeter W
30 Aug
Oxford Utd W
5 : 0
Cheltenham W
23 Aug
Bournemouth W
2 : 1
Cheltenham W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Oxford Utd W 6 6 0 0 23:0 18
2 Bournemouth W 6 4 1 1 9:4 13
3 Fulham W 5 4 0 1 13:4 12
4 Portsmouth W 5 3 1 1 10:1 10
5 Real Bedford W 6 3 0 3 9:11 9
6 Exeter W 6 2 2 2 10:12 8
7 AFC Wimbledon W 4 2 1 1 8:1 7
8 Lewes W 6 1 3 2 6:8 6
9 Hashtag W 6 1 3 2 9:13 6
10 Swindon W 6 1 1 4 6:14 4
11 Cheltenham W 6 0 2 4 8:19 2
12 Plymouth W 6 0 0 6 3:27 0
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