Sport Picks
Match Events
30'
30'
Tej H.
45'
45'
Tbargui B.
90'
90'
Ouechtati S.
AI Match Summary
Bousalem in this Ligue 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bousalem.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chebba
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Bousalem haven't matched Chebba's recent run of results.
- Model gives Chebba a 47% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Bousalem Clean Sheet 20%
Chebba Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bousalem | Chebba |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 10 |
| Losses | 15 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.72 | 1.23 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.24 | 1.33 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 1, 2026 Ligue 2
Chebba vs Bousalem
5:1
Dec 6, 2025 Ligue 2
Bousalem vs Chebba
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bousalem Compare
Top Goalscorer Tbargui B.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ouechtati S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Chebba Compare
Top Goalscorer Tej H.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bousalem 10 / 100
Chebba 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bousalem Chebba
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Chebba Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.
Chebba let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.
Bousalem went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Bousalem scored in 45% of their last 29 outings.
Scoring Trends
Bousalem VS Chebba
0.5 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
38% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Bousalem
(Home) 11 May
Bousalem
2 : 2 Megrine
01 May
Chebba
5 : 1 Bousalem
27 Apr
Bousalem
1 : 1 AS Agareb
18 Apr
Sfax Railways
1 : 0 Bousalem
13 Apr
Bousalem
1 : 0 Msaken
Page 1 of 6
11 May
Bousalem
2 : 2 Megrine
27 Apr
Bousalem
1 : 1 AS Agareb
13 Apr
Bousalem
1 : 0 Msaken
05 Apr
Bousalem
0 : 1 Hamam-Sousse
28 Feb
Bousalem
0 : 0 Sporting Ben Arous
Page 1 of 3
Chebba
(Away) 11 May
Msaken
2 : 4 Chebba
01 May
Chebba
5 : 1 Bousalem
27 Apr
BS Bouhajla
3 : 0 Chebba
18 Apr
Chebba
1 : 0 Sporting Ben Arous
13 Apr
EM Mahdia
1 : 1 Chebba
Page 1 of 6
11 May
Msaken
2 : 4 Chebba
27 Apr
BS Bouhajla
3 : 0 Chebba
13 Apr
EM Mahdia
1 : 1 Chebba
29 Mar
Kerkennah
2 : 1 Chebba
22 Feb
US Tataouine
2 : 1 Chebba
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hamam-Sousse | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 40:19 | 51 |
| 2 | Hammam-Lif | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 36:14 | 51 |
| 3 | US Tataouine | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 34:16 | 51 |
| 4 | Sfax Railways | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 35:26 | 46 |
| 5 | Sporting Ben Arous | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 30:19 | 34 |
| 6 | Kerkennah | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 27:27 | 34 |
| 7 | Chebba | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 33:37 | 33 |
| 8 | Msaken | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 23:28 | 31 |
| 9 | BS Bouhajla | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 21:23 | 30 |
| 10 | Megrine | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 25:35 | 30 |
| 11 | EM Mahdia | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 18:25 | 28 |
| 12 | AS Agareb | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 22:33 | 28 |
| 13 | Bousalem | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 19:34 | 25 |
| 14 | Menzel Bourguiba | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 15:42 | 17 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PS Sakiet Eddaier | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 54:15 | 56 |
| 2 | Stade Gabesien | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 43:16 | 53 |
| 3 | Kasserine | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 31:18 | 47 |
| 4 | Jendouba Sport | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 34:24 | 38 |
| 5 | Korba | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 21:20 | 37 |
| 6 | Bouchamma | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 35:30 | 35 |
| 7 | Gafsa | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 28:31 | 34 |
| 8 | Ariana | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 26:32 | 32 |
| 9 | Ksour Essef | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 40:34 | 32 |
| 10 | Redeyef | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27:39 | 32 |
| 11 | Kalaa | 26 | 9 | 3 | 14 | 28:44 | 30 |
| 12 | Moknine | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 29:36 | 29 |
| 13 | Djelma | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 16:33 | 26 |
| 14 | Sidi Bouzid | 26 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 17:57 | 14 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
