Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bousalem vs Megrine - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Ouechtati S.
60' Event
Louati A.
68' Event
Nasri B.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 2 2025/2026 game between Bousalem and Megrine finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Bousalem
35%
Draws
38%
Megrine
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Megrine

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Megrine come out ahead of Bousalem on wins alone.
  • 38% — that's where the model lands on Megrine taking it.
  • Regular Ligue 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Bousalem Clean Sheet 20%
Megrine Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bousalem Megrine
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 8
Draws 7 10
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 0.72 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2026 Ligue 2
Bousalem vs Megrine
2:2
Dec 14, 2025 Ligue 2
Megrine vs Bousalem
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bousalem Compare

Top Goalscorer Ouechtati S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nasri B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Megrine Compare

Top Goalscorer Louati A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tahenti S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bousalem 24 / 100
Megrine 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bousalem Megrine

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Megrine Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Megrine conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Bousalem remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Bousalem found the back of the net in 45% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Bousalem VS Megrine
0.63 Goals Scored 0.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
38% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bousalem

(Home)
11 May
Bousalem
2 : 2
Megrine
01 May
Chebba
5 : 1
Bousalem
27 Apr
Bousalem
1 : 1
AS Agareb
18 Apr
Sfax Railways
1 : 0
Bousalem
13 Apr
Bousalem
1 : 0
Msaken
Page 1 of 6

Megrine

(Away)
03 Oct
Megrine
1 : 1
ES Beni-Khalled
26 Sept
AS Gabes
1 : 2
Megrine
11 May
Bousalem
2 : 2
Megrine
01 May
Megrine
1 : 1
BS Bouhajla
27 Apr
Sporting Ben Arous
1 : 1
Megrine
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hamam-Sousse 26 15 6 5 40:19 51
2 Hammam-Lif 26 15 6 5 36:14 51
3 US Tataouine 26 15 6 5 34:16 51
4 Sfax Railways 26 13 7 6 35:26 46
5 Sporting Ben Arous 26 8 10 8 30:19 34
6 Kerkennah 26 8 10 8 27:27 34
7 Chebba 26 8 9 9 33:37 33
8 Msaken 26 7 10 9 23:28 31
9 BS Bouhajla 26 7 9 10 21:23 30
10 Megrine 26 7 9 10 25:35 30
11 EM Mahdia 26 6 10 10 18:25 28
12 AS Agareb 26 7 7 12 22:33 28
13 Bousalem 26 6 7 13 19:34 25
14 Menzel Bourguiba 26 3 8 15 15:42 17
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PS Sakiet Eddaier 26 16 8 2 54:15 56
2 Stade Gabesien 26 15 8 3 43:16 53
3 Kasserine 26 14 5 7 31:18 47
4 Jendouba Sport 26 9 11 6 34:24 38
5 Korba 26 9 10 7 21:20 37
6 Bouchamma 26 9 8 9 35:30 35
7 Gafsa 26 9 7 10 28:31 34
8 Ariana 26 8 8 10 26:32 32
9 Ksour Essef 26 9 5 12 40:34 32
10 Redeyef 26 8 8 10 27:39 32
11 Kalaa 26 9 3 14 28:44 30
12 Moknine 26 7 8 11 29:36 29
13 Djelma 26 6 8 12 16:33 26
14 Sidi Bouzid 26 3 5 18 17:57 14
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)