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Box Hill W vs Essendon Royals W

Australia Australia

NPL Victoria Women
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Essendon Royals W in this NPL Victoria Women matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Essendon Royals W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Box Hill W
39%
Draws
31%
Essendon Royals W
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Essendon Royals W haven't matched Box Hill W's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular NPL Victoria Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Box Hill W Clean Sheet 10%
Essendon Royals W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Box Hill W Essendon Royals W
Matches Played 22 22
Wins 16 15
Draws 2 2
Losses 4 5
Goals Scored 3.13 2.88
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 3.13 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 NPL Victoria Women
Essendon Royals W vs Box Hill W
7:1
Feb 13, 2026 NPL Victoria Women
Box Hill W vs Essendon Royals W
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Box Hill W 29 / 100
Essendon Royals W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Box Hill W Essendon Royals W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BOX Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Box Hill W's goal record stands at 95% scoring rate across 22 recent games.

Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Box Hill W stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Essendon Royals W conceded in 68% of 22 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Box Hill W VS Essendon Royals W
3.13 Goals Scored 2.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 75%
88% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Box Hill W

(Home)
24 Jul
Box Hill W
2 : 0
Alamein FC W
17 Jul
Spring Hills W
0 : 1
Box Hill W
10 Jul
Box Hill W
3 : 1
Boroondara Eagles W
04 Jul
Melbourne Victory U20 W
1 : 5
Box Hill W
27 Jun
South Melbourne W
2 : 2
Box Hill W
Page 1 of 5

Essendon Royals W

(Away)
25 Jul
Essendon Royals W
6 : 0
Melbourne Victory U20 W
18 Jul
Melbourne City U20 W
1 : 3
Essendon Royals W
11 Jul
Essendon Royals W
3 : 0
Keilor Park W
04 Jul
Avondale FC W
4 : 2
Essendon Royals W
27 Jun
Essendon Royals W
1 : 2
Bulleen Lions W
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Box Hill W22162459:2450
2Essendon Royals W22152563:2447
3Bulleen Lions W22144453:2146
4Avondale FC W22142655:2244
5Boroondara Eagles W22131847:3440
6South Melbourne W22116543:2239
7Alamein FC W22113828:2436
8Spring Hills W22821226:3226
9Melbourne Victory U20 W21821135:4626
10Heidelberg Utd W22651132:4423
11Preston Lions W22651126:4123
12Keilor Park W22651122:3823
13Bentleigh Greens W22221817:748
14Melbourne City U20 W21211820:807
Promotion - NPL Victoria Women (Play Offs)