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Bra vs Ascoli

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 Stadio Attilio Bravi, Bra
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Brambilla A.
28'
D'Uffizi S.
46'
Sub
Alagna M. In: Guiebre A.
Out: Alagna M.

AI Match Summary

Ascoli in this Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ascoli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Bra
20%
Draws
73%
Ascoli
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ascoli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Ascoli have won more games recently than Bra.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 41.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Bra Clean Sheet 23%
Ascoli Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bra Ascoli
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 4 18
Draws 11 4
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 0.93 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.37 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 0.47 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Bra vs Ascoli
1:3
Oct 4, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Ascoli vs Bra
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bra Compare

Top Goalscorer Brambilla A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.36
Avg xA / game 0.23

Ascoli Compare

Top Goalscorer Chakir M. A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Galuppini F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bra 37 / 100
Ascoli 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bra Ascoli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ascoli Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Bra's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Ascoli has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Recent resilience: Bra stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bra VS Ascoli
0.2 Goals Scored 1.38
0.6 Goals Conceded 0.75
20% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bra

(Home)
16 Sept
Bra
0 : 1
AS Biellese
12 Sept
GSD Lascaris
1 : 0
Bra
06 Sept
Bra
1 : 1
Fezzanese
16 May
Sassari Torres
2 : 1
Bra
09 May
Bra
0 : 1
Sassari Torres
Page 1 of 6

Ascoli

(Away)
19 Sept
Ascoli
3 : 1
Avellino
12 Sept
Padova
1 : 0
Ascoli
05 Sept
Ascoli
1 : 0
Benevento
29 Aug
Ascoli
1 : 1
Carrarese
23 Aug
Verona
1 : 2
Ascoli
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arezzo 36 24 8 4 64:24 80
2 Ascoli 36 23 8 5 63:23 77
3 Ravenna 36 22 7 7 50:30 73
4 Campobasso 36 17 10 9 49:37 59
5 Juventus U23 36 14 11 11 46:43 53
6 Pianese 36 11 17 8 37:34 50
7 Pineto 36 13 11 12 42:45 50
8 Gubbio 36 11 15 10 31:32 48
9 Ternana 36 14 11 11 44:40 48
10 Vis Pesaro 36 11 13 12 38:36 46
11 Livorno 36 12 7 17 39:51 43
12 Forli FC 36 10 10 16 41:52 40
13 Carpi 36 10 10 16 35:48 40
14 Perugia 36 8 14 14 38:44 38
15 Guidonia 1937 36 8 14 14 30:36 38
16 Sambenedettese 36 8 13 15 30:37 37
17 Sassari Torres 36 6 18 12 32:45 36
18 Bra 36 6 14 16 37:54 32
19 US Pontedera 36 3 11 22 27:62 20
20 Rimini 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Out)