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Bra vs Fossano

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Minaj E.
24' Event
Legal L. C.
60' Event
Russo M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 game between Bra and Fossano finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Bra
20%
Draws
0%
Fossano
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Bra's 1.03 goals per match outpaces what Fossano have produced (0.83).
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Bra taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Bra here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Bra Clean Sheet 16%
Fossano Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bra Fossano
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 6 6
Draws 13 4
Losses 12 20
Goals Scored 1.03 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 11, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Bra vs Fossano
4:1
Sep 14, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Fossano vs Bra
1:3
Mar 12, 2023 Serie D - Group A
Bra vs Fossano
5:0
Nov 6, 2022 Serie D - Group A
Fossano vs Bra
0:1
Feb 12, 2022 Serie D - Group A
Fossano vs Bra
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bra Compare

Top Goalscorer Minaj E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Legal L. C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Fossano Compare

Top Goalscorer Russo M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bra 84 / 100
Fossano 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bra Fossano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bra Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fossano has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Fossano has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Bra found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

Scoring Trends

Bra VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bra

(Home)
20 Sept
Borgosesia Calcio
1 : 1
Bra
16 Sept
Bra
0 : 1
AS Biellese
12 Sept
GSD Lascaris
1 : 0
Bra
06 Sept
Bra
1 : 1
Fezzanese
16 May
Sassari Torres
2 : 1
Bra
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Fossano

(Away)
04 May
Chisola
5 : 0
Fossano
27 Apr
Fossano
0 : 1
AC Chieri
17 Apr
NovaRomentin
3 : 1
Fossano
13 Apr
Fossano
1 : 2
Derthona FbC
06 Apr
Lavagnese
1 : 0
Fossano
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bra 36 24 6 6 70:24 78
2 NovaRomentin 36 21 8 7 75:27 71
3 Gozzano 36 18 11 7 52:34 65
4 Vado 36 19 8 9 51:37 65
5 Lavagnese 36 18 10 8 49:35 64
6 Varese FC 36 17 11 8 47:34 62
7 Ligorna 36 16 10 10 55:42 58
8 Chisola 36 14 8 14 43:37 50
9 Saluzzo 36 12 14 10 39:35 50
10 Sanremese 36 10 15 11 31:33 45
11 Asti Calcio 36 11 12 13 36:46 45
12 Derthona FbC 36 11 11 14 41:50 44
13 Oltrepo 36 10 10 16 38:59 40
14 Imperia Calcio 36 10 8 18 52:58 38
15 Vogherese 36 8 13 15 31:44 37
16 Cairese 36 9 10 17 32:47 37
17 AC Chieri 36 7 10 19 33:58 31
18 Borgaro 36 8 4 24 34:77 28
19 Fossano 36 7 5 24 31:63 26
20 Albenga 0 0 0 0 0:0 -1
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Out)