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Brackley vs Chester - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League North
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Brackley host Chester in the National League North. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Chester have shipped 0.9 goals a game lately, while Brackley have conceded 1.66 and scored 0.9. Past meetings favor Brackley slightly — 4-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Dec 14, 2024, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 1.81, favoring Chester. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Brackley
15%
Draws
59%
Chester
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chester

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Chester have won more games recently than Brackley.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Brackley have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Brackley Clean Sheet 11%
Chester Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brackley Chester
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 17
Draws 9 4
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 0.9 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.66 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 14, 2024 National League North
Brackley vs Chester
2:1
Aug 17, 2024 National League North
Chester vs Brackley
0:1
Apr 13, 2024 National League North
Brackley vs Chester
3:1
Dec 5, 2023 National League North
Chester vs Brackley
1:0
May 7, 2023 National League North
Chester vs Brackley
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brackley 35 / 100
Chester 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brackley Chester

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chester Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Brackley's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Chester's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Brackley stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Brackley VS Chester
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Brackley

(Home)
27 Oct
Spalding United
2 : 2
Brackley
24 Oct
Brackley
0 : 1
Radcliffe
17 Oct
Hednesford
3 : 2
Brackley
10 Oct
Brackley
2 : 1
Spennymoor
03 Oct
Brackley
0 : 2
Chelmsford
Page 1 of 6

Chester

(Away)
27 Oct
Chester
2 : 1
Marine
24 Oct
South Shields
3 : 1
Chester
10 Oct
Chester
1 : 0
Bedford
03 Oct
Spennymoor
4 : 1
Chester
26 Sept
Chester
4 : 1
Worksop
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Oxford City 13 8 3 2 25:8 27
2 Hereford 13 8 2 3 24:8 26
3 South Shields 13 8 2 3 22:18 26
4 Macclesfield 12 7 3 2 18:11 24
5 Chester 13 7 2 4 17:13 23
6 Buxton 14 7 2 5 26:23 23
7 Bedford 13 7 1 5 17:16 22
8 Hednesford 14 6 3 5 23:20 21
9 King’s Lynn 14 6 3 5 22:21 21
10 Morecambe 13 6 2 5 19:12 20
11 Chorley 13 6 2 5 23:21 20
12 Worksop 14 6 2 6 20:20 20
13 Hebburn Town 13 5 4 4 18:23 19
14 Spalding United 13 5 3 5 16:13 18
15 Marine 13 5 1 7 15:15 16
16 Harborough 13 4 4 5 12:16 16
17 Telford 14 4 4 6 14:20 16
18 Brackley 14 4 4 6 17:26 16
19 Scarborough Athletic 13 4 3 6 19:18 15
20 Merthyr Town 14 3 6 5 15:19 15
21 Radcliffe 14 5 0 9 16:24 15
22 Darlington FC 14 3 2 9 17:25 11
23 Southport 13 2 4 7 13:23 10
24 Spennymoor 13 1 4 8 12:27 7
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)