Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Brackley vs Notts County

England England

FA Cup 2025/2026 St James Park, Brackley
Sat, Nov 1, 2025
3 - 2
05:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Jatta A.
Assist: Jones J.
27' Event
Lowe M.
Assist: Lyttle T.
46'
Sub
Hall T. In: Iorpenda T.
Out: Hall T.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-2, with Brackley advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Brackley
35%
Draws
39%
Notts County
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Notts County

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Notts County come out ahead of Brackley on wins alone.
  • Model gives Notts County a 39% chance of winning this.
  • Notts County arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Brackley, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Brackley Clean Sheet 16%
Notts County Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brackley Notts County
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 4 10
Draws 7 7
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 0.82 1.48
Goals Conceded 2.04 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2025 FA Cup
Brackley vs Notts County
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brackley Compare

Top Goalscorer Lowe M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Notts County Compare

Top Goalscorer Jatta A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brackley 23 / 100
Notts County 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brackley Notts County

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Notts County Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Notts County's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 27 matches.

Attacking prowess: Brackley scored in 57% of their last 28 outings.

Brackley has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Brackley VS Notts County
0.88 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Brackley

(Home)
12 Sept
Morecambe
3 : 0
Brackley
08 Sept
Buxton
5 : 0
Brackley
05 Sept
Brackley
1 : 0
Harborough
31 Aug
Chorley
2 : 2
Brackley
22 Aug
Macclesfield
2 : 1
Brackley
Page 1 of 6

Notts County

(Away)
12 Sept
Notts County
0 : 1
Bradford City
05 Sept
Huddersfield
1 : 1
Notts County
01 Sept
Doncaster
1 : 1
Notts County
29 Aug
Notts County
2 : 1
Burton
22 Aug
Luton
2 : 2
Notts County
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Wrexham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nottingham -
Ipswich -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Blackpool 1
Scunthorpe 0
Reading 2
Carlisle 3
Hull City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Blackburn -
Charlton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chelsea -
Port Vale 5
Maldon & Tiptree 1
Bromley 1
Bristol Rovers 2
Fleetwood Town 2
Barnet 1
Luton 4
Forest Green 3
Bristol City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Watford -
Colchester 2
Milton Keynes Dons 3
Oldham 3
Northampton 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Oxford Utd -
Everton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sunderland -
Boreham Wood 3
Crawley Town 0
Newport 3
Gillingham 2
Brackley 3
Notts County 2
Burton 6
St. Albans 0
West Ham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
QPR -
Slough Town 2
Altrincham 1
Macclesfield 6
AFC Totton 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Crystal Palace -
Sheffield Wed -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brentford -
Tranmere 1
Stockport County 3
Cambridge Utd 3
Chester 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Birmingham -
Derby -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leeds -
Norwich -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AFC Wimbledon 0
Gateshead 2
Eastleigh 0
Walsall 3
Swansea -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
West Brom -
Tottenham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aston Villa -
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bournemouth -
Manchester City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Halifax 0
Exeter 2
Wycombe 2
Plymouth 0
Salford 2
Lincoln City 1
Tamworth 0
Leyton Orient 1
Rotherham 1
Swindon 2
Bolton 2
Huddersfield 1
Grimsby 3
Ebbsfleet 1
Wealdstone 1
Southend 0
Chelmsford 4
Braintree 1
Weston-super-Mare 2
Aldershot 1
Wolves -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sutton 2
Telford 1
South Shields 1
Shrewsbury 3
Liverpool -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Peterborough 1
Cardiff 0
Barnsley 3
York City 2
Manchester United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brighton -
Stoke City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Coventry -
Fulham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Middlesbrough -
Stevenage 0
Chesterfield 1
Crewe 1
Doncaster 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Southampton -
Cheltenham 1
Bradford City 0
Buxton 2
Chatham 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leicester -
Burnley -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Millwall -
Sheffield Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gainsborough 1
Accrington 2
Mansfield 3
Harrogate 2
Portsmouth -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arsenal -
Preston -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wigan 2
Hemel Hempstead 1
Spennymoor 0
Barrow 2
1/64-finals
Wrexham -
TBD -
TBD -
Nottingham -
Ipswich -
TBD -
Blackpool 4
Carlisle 1
Hull City -
TBD -
TBD -
Blackburn -
Charlton -
TBD -
TBD -
Chelsea -
Port Vale 1
Bristol Rovers 0
Fleetwood Town 3
Luton 2
Bristol City -
TBD -
TBD -
Watford -
Milton Keynes Dons 3
Oldham 1
TBD -
Oxford Utd -
Everton -
TBD -
TBD -
Sunderland -
Boreham Wood 3
Newport 0
Brackley 1
Burton 3
West Ham -
TBD -
TBD -
QPR -
Slough Town 1
Macclesfield 3
TBD -
Crystal Palace -
Sheffield Wed -
TBD -
TBD -
Brentford -
Stockport County 0
Cambridge Utd 1
TBD -
Birmingham -
Derby -
TBD -
TBD -
Leeds -
Norwich -
TBD -
Gateshead 0
Walsall 2
Swansea -
TBD -
TBD -
West Brom -
Tottenham -
TBD -
TBD -
Aston Villa -
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
Bournemouth -
Manchester City -
TBD -
Exeter 4
Wycombe 0
Salford 4
Leyton Orient 0
Swindon 4
Bolton 0
Grimsby 4
Wealdstone 0
Chelmsford 0
Weston-super-Mare 2
Wolves -
TBD -
Sutton 1
Shrewsbury 2
Liverpool -
TBD -
Peterborough 0
Barnsley 1
Manchester United -
TBD -
TBD -
Brighton -
Stoke City -
TBD -
TBD -
Coventry -
Fulham -
TBD -
TBD -
Middlesbrough -
Chesterfield 1
Doncaster 2
TBD -
Southampton -
Cheltenham 6
Buxton 2
TBD -
Leicester -
Burnley -
TBD -
TBD -
Millwall -
Sheffield Utd -
TBD -
Accrington 2
Mansfield 3
Portsmouth -
TBD -
TBD -
Arsenal -
Preston -
TBD -
Wigan 3
Barrow 2
1/32-finals
Wrexham 4
Nottingham 3
Ipswich 2
Blackpool 1
Hull City 1
Blackburn 0
Charlton 1
Chelsea 5
Port Vale 1
Fleetwood Town 0
Bristol City 5
Watford 1
Milton Keynes Dons 1
Oxford Utd 2
Everton 1
Sunderland 2
Boreham Wood 0
Burton 5
West Ham 2
QPR 1
Macclesfield 2
Crystal Palace 1
Sheffield Wed 0
Brentford 2
Cambridge Utd 2
Birmingham 3
Derby 1
Leeds 3
Norwich 5
Walsall 1
Swansea 2
West Brom 3
Tottenham 1
Aston Villa 2
Newcastle Utd 4
Bournemouth 3
Manchester City 10
Exeter 1
Salford 3
Swindon 2
Grimsby 3
Weston-super-Mare 2
Wolves 6
Shrewsbury 1
Liverpool 4
Barnsley 1
Manchester United 1
Brighton 2
Stoke City 1
Coventry 0
Fulham 3
Middlesbrough 1
Doncaster 2
Southampton 3
Cheltenham 0
Leicester 2
Burnley 5
Millwall 1
Sheffield Utd 3
Mansfield 4
Portsmouth 1
Arsenal 4
Preston 0
Wigan 1
1/16-finals
Wrexham 1
Ipswich 0
Hull City 0
Chelsea 4
Port Vale 1
Bristol City 0
Oxford Utd 0
Sunderland 1
Burton 0
West Ham 1
Macclesfield 0
Brentford 1
Birmingham 1
Leeds 2
Norwich 3
West Brom 1
Aston Villa 1
Newcastle Utd 3
Manchester City 2
Salford 0
Grimsby 0
Wolves 1
Liverpool 3
Brighton 0
Stoke City 1
Fulham 2
Southampton 2
Leicester 1
Burnley 1
Mansfield 2
Arsenal 4
Wigan 0
1/8-finals
Wrexham 2
Chelsea 4
Port Vale 1
Sunderland 0
West Ham 3
Brentford 2
Leeds 3
Norwich 0
Newcastle Utd 1
Manchester City 3
Wolves 1
Liverpool 3
Fulham 0
Southampton 1
Mansfield 1
Arsenal 2
Quarter-finals
Chelsea 7
Port Vale 0
West Ham 2
Leeds 3
Manchester City 4
Liverpool 0
Southampton 2
Arsenal 1
Semi-finals
Chelsea 1
Leeds 0
Manchester City 2
Southampton 1
Final
Chelsea 0
Manchester City 1