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Brackley vs Scarborough Athletic - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League North
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Cooper C.
55' Event
Weledji K.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this National League North matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Brackley
35%
Draws
30%
Scarborough Athletic
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Scarborough Athletic lately — more wins on the board than Brackley.
  • Scarborough Athletic are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular National League North form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Brackley Clean Sheet 15%
Scarborough Athletic Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brackley Scarborough Athletic
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 10
Draws 8 10
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 0.93 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 National League North
Brackley vs Scarborough Athletic
1:1
Mar 29, 2025 National League North
Brackley vs Scarborough Athletic
2:0
Dec 10, 2024 National League North
Scarborough Athletic vs Brackley
2:1
Dec 23, 2023 National League North
Brackley vs Scarborough Athletic
0:1
Sep 9, 2023 National League North
Scarborough Athletic vs Brackley
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brackley Compare

Top Goalscorer Cooper C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Scarborough Athletic Compare

Top Goalscorer Weledji K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brackley 19 / 100
Scarborough Athletic 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brackley Scarborough Athletic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Scarborough Athletic Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:5
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brackley scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Scarborough Athletic has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Brackley has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Brackley VS Scarborough Athletic
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Brackley

(Home)
03 Oct
Brackley
0 : 2
Chelmsford
29 Sept
Brackley
3 : 2
South Shields
26 Sept
Brackley
1 : 1
Scarborough Athletic
19 Sept
Brackley
1 : 0
Portchester
12 Sept
Morecambe
3 : 0
Brackley
Page 1 of 6

Scarborough Athletic

(Away)
06 Oct
Scarborough Athletic
1 : 2
Macclesfield
03 Oct
Macclesfield
2 : 2
Scarborough Athletic
26 Sept
Brackley
1 : 1
Scarborough Athletic
19 Sept
Dunston
0 : 2
Scarborough Athletic
12 Sept
Scarborough Athletic
0 : 0
Merthyr Town
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hereford 10 7 2 1 22:5 23
2 Macclesfield 10 6 3 1 13:6 21
3 Oxford City 10 6 2 2 18:7 20
4 South Shields 10 6 2 2 15:13 20
5 Hebburn Town 10 5 3 2 16:16 18
6 Spalding United 10 5 2 3 14:8 17
7 Chester 10 5 2 3 13:9 17
8 King’s Lynn 10 5 1 4 20:15 16
9 Buxton 10 5 1 4 18:18 16
10 Bedford 10 5 1 4 14:14 16
11 Morecambe 10 4 2 4 14:9 14
12 Chorley 10 4 2 4 16:17 14
13 Merthyr Town 10 3 4 3 12:11 13
14 Scarborough Athletic 10 3 3 4 15:12 12
15 Hednesford 10 3 3 4 17:17 12
16 Marine 10 4 0 6 12:12 12
17 Harborough 10 3 3 4 10:12 12
18 Worksop 10 4 0 6 10:16 12
19 Brackley 10 3 3 4 11:19 12
20 Southport 10 2 3 5 13:20 9
21 Telford 10 2 3 5 8:15 9
22 Darlington FC 10 2 1 7 12:21 7
23 Spennymoor 10 1 4 5 11:21 7
24 Radcliffe 10 2 0 8 9:20 6
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)