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Brackley vs Tamworth

England England

National League 2025/2026 St James Park, Brackley
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Sub
Brown Z. In: Tripp C.
Out: Brown Z.
40'
Sub
Lynch O. In: Reindorf M.
Out: Lynch O.
41'
Rye J.

AI Match Summary

Tamworth in this National League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tamworth.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Brackley
39%
Draws
31%
Tamworth
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tamworth lately — more wins on the board than Brackley.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Brackley Clean Sheet 14%
Tamworth Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brackley Tamworth
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 13
Draws 9 8
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 0.63 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 National League
Brackley vs Tamworth
0:1
Aug 25, 2025 National League
Tamworth vs Brackley
1:1
Apr 1, 2024 National League North
Brackley vs Tamworth
3:0
Nov 21, 2023 National League North
Tamworth vs Brackley
1:0
Jan 20, 2018 National League North
Tamworth vs Brackley
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brackley 30 / 100
Tamworth 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brackley Tamworth

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BRA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brackley found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Tamworth's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Brackley went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Brackley VS Tamworth
0.63 Goals Scored 2.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Brackley

(Home)
21 Jul
Stratford
1 : 0
Brackley
18 Jul
Cardiff Metropolitan University
0 : 0
Brackley
14 Jul
Leamington
2 : 2
Brackley
25 Apr
Carlisle
3 : 0
Brackley
18 Apr
Brackley
2 : 1
Aldershot
Page 1 of 6

Tamworth

(Away)
28 Jul
Tamworth
1 : 1
Macclesfield
25 Jul
Halesowen
2 : 2
Tamworth
21 Jul
Tamworth
1 : 2
Aston Villa U21
18 Jul
Tamworth
3 : 1
Stoke City U21
14 Jul
Port Vale
5 : 0
Tamworth
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1York City463394114:41108
2Rochdale46337688:41106
3Carlisle46298987:5195
4Boreham Wood462791095:5890
5Scunthorpe4623131077:6282
6Southend4623121183:4781
7Forest Green4623121182:5281
8Halifax4620101669:6670
9Hartlepool4618141454:5968
10Woking4616151569:5463
11Tamworth4617111863:7162
12Boston United4615141763:6759
13Altrincham461762355:6557
14Solihull Moors4614141871:7256
15Wealdstone4615112067:7456
16Yeovil461562548:6851
17Eastleigh4613112257:8050
18Gateshead461482454:9050
19Sutton4611142159:7947
20Aldershot461372669:8746
21Brackley4610122440:7542
22Morecambe469112666:10338
23Braintree468122638:7636
24Truro468102842:7234
Promotion - League Two (Main)
Promotion - National League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)