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Bradford City vs Rochdale - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

EFL Cup Valley Parade, Bradford
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Rodney D.
45' Event
Swan W.
62'
Sub
Rodney D. In: Francis E.
Out: Rodney D.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. This leg finished 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Bradford City
15%
Draws
35%
Rochdale
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bradford City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Bradford City have won more games recently than Rochdale.
  • Win probability leans Bradford City's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Bradford City have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Rochdale, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Bradford City Clean Sheet 68%
Rochdale Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bradford City Rochdale
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 17 11
Draws 5 6
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.64 1.57
Goals Conceded 0.82 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 EFL Cup
Bradford City vs Rochdale
2:0
Jul 29, 2023 Club Friendly
Rochdale vs Bradford City
1:0
Apr 15, 2023 League Two
Rochdale vs Bradford City
0:3
Jan 10, 2023 League Two
Bradford City vs Rochdale
1:2
Jan 22, 2022 League Two
Rochdale vs Bradford City
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bradford City Compare

Top Goalscorer Swan W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Baldwin A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Rochdale Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bradford City 95 / 100
Rochdale 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bradford City Rochdale

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bradford City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 7:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bradford City's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Rochdale has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Recent resilience: Bradford City stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Bradford City VS Rochdale
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bradford City

(Home)
06 Oct
Rotherham
0 : 4
Bradford City
03 Oct
Reading
1 : 1
Bradford City
22 Sept
Bradford City
2 : 1
Newcastle Utd U21
19 Sept
Luton
0 : 1
Bradford City
12 Sept
Notts County
0 : 1
Bradford City
Page 1 of 6

Rochdale

(Away)
06 Oct
Huddersfield
5 : 0
Rochdale
03 Oct
Rochdale
1 : 0
Swindon
26 Sept
Fleetwood Town
1 : 2
Rochdale
22 Sept
Rochdale
3 : 4
Liverpool U21
19 Sept
Rochdale
2 : 0
Oldham
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Fleetwood Town 1
Chesterfield 0
Salford 1
Shrewsbury 2
Burton 1
Blackburn 2
Mansfield 0
Sheffield Utd 3
Ipswich -
TBD -
Leicester 1
Northampton 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arsenal -
Manchester City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cardiff 3
Swindon 2
Norwich 4
Milton Keynes Dons 1
Manchester United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brighton -
Preston 2
Huddersfield 1
TBD -
Everton -
Sheffield Wed 1
Bolton 0
Wolves 3
Port Vale 0
Cambridge Utd 2
Barnet 1
QPR 1
Millwall 2
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
Rotherham 1
West Brom 4
Sunderland -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stoke City 2
Oldham 0
TBD -
Hull City -
Wycombe 1
Stevenage 2
Bromley 1
Reading 2
Swansea 0
Birmingham 1
TBD -
Brentford -
Liverpool -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tottenham -
TBD -
Cheltenham 1
Charlton 3
Chelsea -
TBD -
Gillingham 0
Luton 3
Nottingham -
TBD -
TBD -
Leeds -
Bristol City 0
Walsall 1
Leyton Orient 2
Oxford Utd 0
Bradford City 2
Rochdale 0
Burnley 2
Notts County 1
Watford 1
Crawley Town 0
Bristol Rovers 0
Peterborough 1
Barnsley 2
Wigan 1
Crewe 2
Accrington 1
Colchester 0
Southampton 2
West Ham 3
Portsmouth 1
Fulham -
TBD -
AFC Wimbledon 2
Newport 1
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stockport County 1
Doncaster 2
Middlesbrough 1
Wrexham 0
Bournemouth -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Grimsby 1
Blackpool 3
Derby 1
Lincoln City 2
Plymouth 2
Exeter 0
TBD -
Coventry -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/32-finals
Fleetwood Town 4
Shrewsbury 0
Blackburn 1
Sheffield Utd 2
Ipswich 3
Leicester 1
TBD -
Arsenal -
Manchester City -
TBD -
Cardiff 1
Norwich 2
Manchester United -
TBD -
TBD -
Brighton -
Preston 0
Everton 4
Sheffield Wed 0
Wolves 2
Cambridge Utd 0
Millwall 1
Newcastle Utd 3
West Brom 2
Sunderland -
TBD -
Stoke City 1
Hull City 2
Stevenage 0
Reading 3
Birmingham 1
Brentford 6
Liverpool -
TBD -
Tottenham 5
Charlton 1
Chelsea 2
Luton 0
Nottingham 0
Leeds 2
Walsall 0
Leyton Orient 1
Bradford City 1
Burnley 0
Watford 1
Peterborough 5
Barnsley 3
Crewe 2
Southampton 1
West Ham 4
Fulham 3
AFC Wimbledon 0
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
Doncaster 1
Middlesbrough 3
Bournemouth -
TBD -
Blackpool 1
Lincoln City 4
Plymouth 2
Coventry 4
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/16-finals
Fleetwood Town 1
Sheffield Utd 0
Ipswich 2
Arsenal 4
Manchester City 5
Norwich 0
Manchester United 2
Brighton 3
Everton 1
Wolves 0
Millwall 0
Newcastle Utd 1
Sunderland 1
Hull City 0
Reading 1
Brentford 2
Liverpool 3
Tottenham 1
Chelsea 6
Leeds 3
Leyton Orient 1
Bradford City 3
Peterborough 4
Barnsley 3
West Ham 2
Fulham 3
Crystal Palace 3
Middlesbrough 0
Bournemouth 4
Lincoln City 0
Coventry 1
Aston Villa 3
1/8-finals
Fleetwood Town -
Arsenal -
Manchester City -
Brighton -
Everton -
Newcastle Utd -
Sunderland -
Brentford -
Liverpool -
Chelsea -
Bradford City -
Peterborough -
Fulham -
Crystal Palace -
Bournemouth -
Aston Villa -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -