Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Braga B vs AD Marco 09

Portugal Portugal

Liga 3 2025/2026 Estádio 1.º de Maio, Braga
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Pedro P.
Penalty Missed
42'
Ferreira T.
44' Event
Merheg S. J.
Assist: Noro J.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 2025/2026 game between Braga B and AD Marco 09 finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Braga B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Braga B
30%
Draws
38%
AD Marco 09
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AD Marco 09

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Braga B's 1.2 goals per match outpaces what AD Marco 09 have produced (1).
  • Braga B are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Liga 3 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Braga B Clean Sheet 68%
AD Marco 09 Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Braga B AD Marco 09
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 11
Draws 10 10
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.2 1
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Liga 3
AD Marco 09 vs Braga B
1:0
Feb 22, 2026 Liga 3
Braga B vs AD Marco 09
2:0
Jan 4, 2026 Liga 3
Braga B vs AD Marco 09
2:1
Sep 28, 2025 Liga 3
AD Marco 09 vs Braga B
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Braga B Compare

Top Goalscorer Merheg S. J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

AD Marco 09 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Braga B 68 / 100
AD Marco 09 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Braga B AD Marco 09

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Braga B Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Braga B stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Braga B scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

AD Marco 09 has conceded goals in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Braga B VS AD Marco 09
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Braga B

(Home)
13 Sept
Maria de Fonte
0 : 4
Braga B
05 Sept
Braga B
2 : 2
CDC Montalegre
23 Aug
GD Braganca
0 : 0
Braga B
16 Aug
Braga B
2 : 1
Maia Lidador
01 Aug
Penafiel
0 : 2
Braga B
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AD Marco 09

(Away)
20 Sept
AD Marco 09
1 : 0
Maia Lidador
12 Sept
AD Marco 09
1 : 0
Vitoria Guimaraes B
06 Sept
Sao Joao de Ver
0 : 0
AD Marco 09
30 Aug
Regua
0 : 1
AD Marco 09
23 Aug
AD Marco 09
2 : 0
SC Vianense
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